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17:55
PDT
DBS is focusing on agent accountability and governance to enhance customer relationships.
DBS GroupTan Su-shanBloombergJapanBOJU.S.JGBTreasuryUXDBSCEOAIPRIVATECL=F
– Rising yields in Japan and the U.S. are influencing bank performance metrics.
– The yield landscape is critical for banks amid increasing rate hike bets.
– AI valuations are being repriced due to higher oil prices and yield changes.
– Geopolitical risks are a growing concern for banks' operational strategies.
AI governanceyield landscapebank performancegeopolitical risk
▸ Full transcript
Where customers might have their own agents interact with your agents. But if you're lucky and your agents are good and trusted, the customer might use your agent. Right, so then it's how you create your agent control plane, how you create your agent harness to be safe, to be relevant and to have end-to-end accountability, to be grounded in governance and controls and procedures, and to be grounded in great data and great UX so that the customers go, I like your agent, I'm going to use it for a long time. That's when you have sticky relationships. DBS Group CEO Tan Su-shan speaking with Bloomberg's Hassan Da'ami. And of course for all of these banks, the yield landscape is so important today. Outperforming the markets right now is the topics banks index as well as JGB yields have continued to rise. We're talking about the two-year yield, the 10-year yield now holding at that 280 level. Of course, as we saw that, JGB's rally in the previous session as well, we had a solid 30-year auction, but of course here in Japan, BOJ hike risks, fiscal supply risks also continue. We're also coming off the back of what's happening in the U.S. with the Treasury side of things, with yields moving higher across the curve, rate hike bets also increasing. Really across the world, the 10-year yield also around that 5 percent, given that we have seen that rate repricing on higher oil prices is high and of course long duration AI valuations being repriced.
Analysis

DBS Group CEO Tan Su-shan emphasized the importance of creating a safe and accountable agent control plane to foster customer trust and long-term relationships. The rising yield landscape, particularly in Japan and the U.S., is impacting banks' performance and the repricing of long-duration AI valuations.

Smart money should note that the current yield environment is not only affecting traditional banking metrics but also reshaping how banks leverage AI and customer data. The interplay between rising yields and geopolitical uncertainties could lead to significant shifts in investment strategies across sectors.

17:52
PDT
DBS is prioritizing AI integration with a strong focus on cybersecurity.
DBSBrine ChaudhuryBloombergChinaAI
– The bank emphasizes the importance of customer trust and data ownership.
– AI is expected to change workflows from vertical to horizontal processes.
– DBS aims to differentiate itself through innovation culture and customer data utilization.
– Concerns about the risks of using Chinese AI models are acknowledged.
AI integrationcustomer trustcybersecuritydata ownership
▸ Full transcript
All this work is being done right now. There are institutions out there which have said no to Chinese models because of the risk involved. Does that keep you up at night? It's on whoever uses them to have your court, to put the right guardrails out. And we've got all our guardrails. As I said, we're creating an AI harness, an AI control plane, so that we have the observability, accountability, and we have to patch. It's upon us right now to do that and do the right thing by our customers. So we're all over this, cybersecurity and the use of AI to counter AI, top of mind. Three to five years down the road, how do you see AI, I guess, reshaping DBS? I think it will fundamentally change the way we work. It means that workflows and work processes that we're used to in a vertical way will become more horizontal. It means that there will be things that, as an organization, you'll have to own. That's what I meant by sovereign code owning your own code. There'll be things that you can buy; it's faster and easier, and that's fine, and things you own and you build. But what is important? What are your modes to keep you ahead? Because tech in itself is not a differentiator; your own differentiation is number one your customer data, how well you use it, number two your culture, whether you have a culture of innovation, are you fast, are you nimble, number three trust. That money can't buy. But your customer trust in you is sacrosanct, and how do you protect that?
Analysis

DBS is focusing on enhancing its AI capabilities while ensuring cybersecurity measures are in place, emphasizing the importance of customer trust and data ownership. The bank acknowledges that the integration of AI will fundamentally alter workflows, shifting from vertical to horizontal processes, which could redefine competitive advantages in the financial sector.

Smart money should note that while the adoption of AI is critical, the emphasis on trust and data ownership may create a competitive moat that is not easily replicable. This focus on innovation culture and customer trust could position DBS favorably against competitors who may overlook these aspects in their AI strategies.

17:50
PDT
OCBC's profit growth driven by insurance and wealth management.
OCBCUOBDBSTansu ShanHuzlinder AminSingaporeChinaCEOAIPRIVATE
– UOB's earnings supported by wealth management despite lending income declines.
– DBS identifies geopolitical uncertainty and AI evolution as major challenges.
– Increased AI token consumption is leading to lower operational costs.
– Chinese AI models are significantly cheaper than Western counterparts.
banking sector performanceAI optimizationgeopolitical riskswealth management growth
▸ Full transcript
Singapore lender OCBC's second-quarter profit topped estimates, helped by strong insurance and wealth management fees. The bank's net income rose 22 percent to $1.7 billion and reaffirmed plans to complete its capital return program this year. UOB also reported earnings in line with expectations, with profit rising 10 percent to $1.15 billion, underpinned by wealth management fees that helped offset declines in lending income. DBS CEO Sherry says the bank's biggest challenges over the next year will be geopolitical uncertainty and the rapid evolution of AI. Tansu Shan spoke with Bloomberg's Huzlinder Amin about how the company is optimizing its use of AI. We've always said our total spend on tech will be around circa 10 percent of our total revenue. Honestly, that's been pretty stable and pretty flat. The irony, and I call it the paradox of token spend, is the more tokens you consume, the lower the cost. We're seeing that tip now. We are actually doubling our token consumption and we're starting to lower our cost because of the cash, the memory, the optimization, the use of SLMs, etc. Our people are getting a lot smarter on how to optimize. So that's good. When it comes to models, I guess the big debate is Western models versus the Chinese models, which are 80 percent cheaper some say. How do you take that into consideration?
Analysis

Singapore lender OCBC reported a second-quarter profit that exceeded estimates, driven by strong insurance and wealth management fees, with net income rising 22% to $1.7 billion. UOB's profit also rose 10% to $1.15 billion, supported by wealth management fees, while DBS highlighted geopolitical uncertainty and AI evolution as key challenges ahead.

The paradox of token spend in AI is emerging, where increased consumption leads to lower costs, indicating a shift in operational efficiency. This trend may favor banks that can optimize their AI investments, particularly as Western and Chinese models diverge significantly in cost-effectiveness.

17:45
PDT
Copper prices are benefiting from AI and green energy demand.
U.S.IranBMIStrait of HormuzAIgreen energyCL=F
– Oil prices are forecasted to average $83 per barrel this year.
– A preliminary deal in the Strait of Hormuz is expected by Q3.
– Geopolitical risks continue to create volatility in oil markets.
– Market sentiment remains cautious amid global recession fears.
geopolitical riskcommodity demandoil price volatility
▸ Full transcript
Copper has been on a consistent uptrend despite risks between the U.S. and Iran, geopolitical risks globally, and risks towards a global recession. Copper has benefited due to AI demand as well as green demand. When it comes to oil, we've had much to and fro in the price action. Prices have averaged around $87 a barrel in the year to date. At BMI, we forecast prices to come in at an average of $83 a barrel for the whole of this year. This is contingent on a number of factors. We hold the view that this conflict will be resolved with a preliminary deal by the end of Q3. So by the end of September, there will be a preliminary deal, and the probability of that is the highest. If that happens, then we do expect normalization of at least 30.
Analysis

Copper prices have remained on an upward trajectory despite geopolitical risks and recession fears, driven by strong demand from AI and green energy sectors. Oil prices are currently volatile, with forecasts suggesting an average of $83 per barrel for the year, contingent on a potential preliminary deal regarding the conflict in the Strait of Hormuz by the end of Q3.

The market is pricing in a resolution to the geopolitical tensions, which could stabilize oil supply and prices. However, the ongoing volatility in oil markets highlights the uncertainty that could impact broader economic conditions and commodity demand moving forward.

17:43
PDT
Copper sentiment is strong despite weak demand in certain sectors.
ChinaDRCAI sectorcoppergreen energyAIFrom ChinaUSDCNHMETA
– Infrastructure and real estate issues in China are affecting copper demand.
– The DRC's export ban on copper concentrates may influence market sentiment.
– AI infrastructure demand continues to support copper prices.
– Physical supply fundamentals remain better than before.
copper market dynamicsChina economic impactAI infrastructure demandgreen energy transition
▸ Full transcript
From China in terms of refined copper, Chile is doing well as well. The demand sector outside of the green revolution and the tech revolution remains weak. I'm pointing to the infrastructure and real estate issues in mainland China, which is a major consumer of copper globally. In terms of physical fundamentals, the market is still better supplied than before and where it will be in the future. But at the same time, the sentiment towards copper is extremely strong. Now, as you mentioned, obviously, there is the strong demand that's coming from the AI sector. Copper is a significant metal used in physical AI infrastructure. There is the green energy demand as well. But at the same time, recently, we've had news of the DRC banning exports of copper concentrates, which will definitely impact sentiment more than the physical markets. The DRC, despite being a major producer of copper, most of its copper is exported after being refined. So the ban doesn't really hold a material impact on physical supply. How much of the drive in terms of its growing the green transition AI infrastructure is still at play here given a lot of the volatility that we've seen over AI projections.
Analysis

The copper market sentiment remains strong despite a weak demand sector outside of the green and tech revolutions, particularly due to infrastructure and real estate issues in mainland China. The recent ban on copper concentrate exports from the DRC is expected to impact sentiment more than physical supply, as most copper is exported after refining.

17:40
PDT
Copper is supported by tariff-driven factors and tight supply.
U.S. governmentcoppergoldoilHaslinda AminMinne KadoshiNew EconomyBloomberg This WeekendDavid RurLisa MateoChristina RafiniWall StreetPRIVATEGC=FCL=F
– Gold is declining after a brief advance.
– Oil prices are rising due to geopolitical developments.
– Market conditions are volatile, influenced by government decisions.
– Investors should monitor commodity price movements closely.
commodity price movementsgeopolitical risksupply chain dynamics
▸ Full transcript
And the levers of power are moving in real time. To see where the world is headed, you have to look where the action is. I'm Haslinda Amin in Singapore. I'm Minne Kadoshi in Mumbai. Welcome to Imaging the New Economy podcast. Each month we dive deep into how the world's most exciting rising economies are shaping the global future. Join the conversation. Subscribe to Imaging on your favorite podcast platform today. Welcome to Bloomberg This Weekend. I'm David Rur. I'm Lisa Mateo. And I'm Christina Rafini. We're tracking breaking news today from Wall Street to Washington. Let's start overseas. Bloomberg This Weekend, bringing a little Bloomberg into your weekend routine. Watch, listen, stream. We are watching the gains that continue to pile on when it comes to copper near a record high on these expectations of tariff decisions from the U.S. government. So we are trading near that record assessing that stockpiling situation as well, looking at an increasingly tight physical supply situation outside of the U.S. as well. So the support from the tariff-driven factors as well as these broader market conditions are continuing to move that higher there. We are seeing though some downside when it comes to gold edging low and snapping that three-day advance as a renewed surge in oil prices as a result of what looks like the ceasefire deal.
Analysis

Copper prices are nearing record highs due to expectations surrounding U.S. tariff decisions and tight physical supply conditions. Meanwhile, gold prices are experiencing a downturn, snapping a three-day advance as oil prices surge following a ceasefire deal.

17:38
PDT
Dollar weakness observed against G10 currencies, including Yen.
YenDollarRuth CarsonBloombergWCRSFXKing DollarDXYPRIVATE
– Upcoming economic data release could impact dollar strength.
– FX markets are highly liquid but can be volatile.
– Effectiveness of joint currency interventions is under scrutiny.
– Investors are cautious ahead of key economic indicators.
currency interventionFX market volatility
▸ Full transcript
Supply when it comes to the effectiveness of Yen intervention? Yes, absolutely. And the Yen plays a big part here when it comes to that dollar weakness. If we run WCRS Go on the terminal and change it to about a one-month timeline, absolutely, without a doubt, the numbers show that the dollar is down against most G10 peers, including the Yen. But that said, you know, FX markets are indeed the biggest in the world. It's $25 trillion a day, and it's very liquid. It can also be very mercurial. And remember, in times of stress, no doubt undoubtedly, King Dollar is king for a reason. So people tend to flock to it. Now, tonight will be a big test when it comes to Dollar-Yen. If the numbers do come in hot, we could see the dollar bid again and then investors increasingly question the effectiveness of that joint intervention. Ruth Carson, Bloomberg's chief Asia FX correspondent, there with the latest on what to expect on the currency here in Japan. We have more ahead. This is Bloomberg. I believe what we're doing is extremely impactful on the world. I grew up in a low-income household. Neither of my parents went to college. With that type of upbringing, I craved financial.
Analysis

The dollar is showing weakness against most G10 currencies, including the Yen, which raises questions about the effectiveness of joint currency interventions. Tonight's economic data release could trigger a rebound in the dollar if the numbers come in strong, potentially undermining confidence in intervention strategies.

Investors should note the liquidity and volatility of FX markets, which can shift rapidly in response to economic indicators. The upcoming data release is a critical test for the dollar's strength and could influence market sentiment significantly.

17:34
PDT
Tokyo Stock Exchange to eliminate lowest 3% of companies.
Tokyo Stock ExchangeGovernment Pension Investment FundKatayamaTakaiichiGPIFThe Tokyo Stock ExchangeSquid Game
– Governance reforms aim to improve investment efficiency.
– GPIF's quarterly results may reveal shifts in asset allocation.
– Skepticism surrounds government influence on GPIF investments.
– Passive investors face higher costs due to illiquid stocks.
governance reformJapanese asset allocationmarket liquidity
▸ Full transcript
The Tokyo Stock Exchange is not as brutal as Squid Game, so it's not going to eliminate all companies until only one is left, but still companies feel a lot of pressure to keep stock prices up. This is also related to the governance reform as well. Before I let you go, Hideo, I also wanted to ask you about the Government Pension Investment Fund, because there's been a lot of focus on it given the government's rhetoric about potentially them investing more in Japanese assets. We're getting some of their updates when it comes to allocations. What can we expect? Yeah, so the GPIF is going to announce its result for the April to June quarter. And so that's the period before Katayama and Takaiichi made comments about GPIF. Most investors do not expect any major changes to GPIF's portfolio, but if GPIF had done anything abnormal then that would certainly fuel speculation that GPIF may be actually moving towards investing more in Japanese assets. Is this an encouragement from the government or can the government actually do something? That's hard to say. At this point, I think there's a lot of skepticism about what kind of changes the government can make. And there are several reasons. And at the moment, the GPIF has an equal 20.
Analysis

The Tokyo Stock Exchange is undergoing significant changes, with a major overhaul set to eliminate the lowest 3% of companies by market capitalization. This move is driven by governance reforms and aims to enhance the investment landscape for passive investors, who currently face higher costs due to the large number of illiquid stocks.

The Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF) is under scrutiny as it prepares to announce its quarterly results, with speculation about potential shifts towards more investments in Japanese assets. However, skepticism remains regarding the government's ability to influence GPIF's portfolio, indicating that any changes may not be as impactful as anticipated.

17:32
PDT
Nikkei up 0.2% amid index overhaul.
NikkeiTopixTokyo Stock ExchangeHideo YukiPRIVATES&P 500
– Over 600 companies may be removed from Topix.
– Largest change in Topix history since the 1960s.
– Investors face higher costs due to illiquid stocks.
– Tokyo Stock Exchange targets lowest 3% market cap stocks.
index overhaulliquiditypassive investment
▸ Full transcript
Right now, a little bit of divergence with the Nikkei, the Topix is gaining two-tenths of one percent. It's preparing for its biggest overhaul in years. Small caps could be fighting to keep their place in the index. Bloomberg's senior equities reporter Hideo Yuki-Sano joins us with a preview. So we're talking about more than 600 companies that could be eliminated starting in October. Why? Right. So, yeah, this is the biggest overhaul of the Topix's history dating back to the 1960s. Investors long complained that the Topix had far too many companies, at one point more than 2,000 companies. And in 2022 they cut back on the number to 2,600 or so, but still that's far more than the S&P 500, for instance. And for investors, that means extra costs to replicate because there are so many small illiquid stocks. And so the Tokyo Stock Exchange has basically decided to call the stocks that together make up the lowest 3 percent of market capital. So what does it mean for those companies that are getting eliminated? Yeah, so they are not going to get investment from passive investors and buy the Tokyo Stock Exchange's estimate.
Analysis

The Nikkei is showing a slight increase of two-tenths of one percent as it prepares for a significant overhaul, with over 600 companies potentially being eliminated from the index starting in October. This marks the largest change in the Topix's history, which has faced criticism for having too many companies, leading to higher costs for investors due to illiquid stocks.

The Tokyo Stock Exchange's decision to remove the lowest 3 percent of market capital stocks indicates a shift towards a more streamlined index that could attract more passive investment. Smart money should note that this overhaul may create opportunities in the remaining stocks, as the elimination of illiquid companies could enhance overall market efficiency and liquidity.

17:30
PDT
China AI company targets 500 billion yuan valuation in second fundraising round.
Min Min LoAlibabaTencentNational Artificial Intelligence Investment FundMonolith ManagementNvidiaJensen HuangAlphabetAnthropicMillenniumBloombergIranPRIVATECL=F
– Alphabet's $25 billion bond sale attracted $115 billion in demand.
– Monolith Management to contribute to the AI fundraising round.
– Rising oil prices are influencing energy stocks positively.
– Inflation volatility is expected to increase, affecting stock-bond correlations.
AI investmentinflation volatility
▸ Full transcript
People, the transactions, and the technology. Bloomberg Crypto Tuesdays only on Bloomberg. Welcome to Bloomberg This Weekend. I'm David Rourke. I'm Lisa Matei. And I'm Christina Rafiti. We're tracking breaking news today from Wall Street to Washington. Let's start overseas. The sector is really propelling this yield forward. Yeah, the hope is this will open up new markets and provide some additional liquidity. Of course, now they're gonna have competitors. We got a big week coming up in politics. Burning season is underway. We're gonna get some key reports. Everything you need to know before the markets open on Monday. Bloomberg This Weekend bringing a little Bloomberg into your weekend routine. Guys buckle up. When news breaks in comes the car into Downing Street. Bloomberg has you covered. Andy Burnham arriving for all the context and clarity you need. A broad vision here from the new Prime Minister here at first on Bloomberg. Bringing you up to the minute political news whenever and wherever it happens. I'm Joe Matthew on the South Lawn of the White House. This is Bloomberg. Take a look at how Japanese assets are trading early in the morning session today. We're seeing downside on the NICA energy stocks are gaining ground today because of the rising oil prices with Brent around $83 a barrel on Iran-US tensions. But at the same time, we have information tech as one of the big losers today, especially when it comes to...
Analysis

China's AI sector is experiencing significant fundraising momentum, with a company seeking a valuation increase to 500 billion yuan in its second round, following interest from major players like Alibaba and Tencent. Meanwhile, Alphabet's recent bond issuance for AI-related debt has attracted overwhelming demand, positioning it as the largest seller of such bonds since 2025.

Investors should note the increasing competition in the AI space as companies ramp up fundraising efforts and partnerships, particularly in light of Alphabet's substantial bond issuance. The correlation between inflation volatility and rate volatility is also shifting, which could impact asset allocation strategies moving forward.

17:28
PDT
Iran's nuclear capabilities remain a significant concern.
IranDonald TrumpBloombergJill DeisUnited StatesPresident Donald TrumpPRIVATE
– Control over the Strait of Hormuz is critical for global oil supply.
– U.S. midterms may influence market sentiment and policy decisions.
– Inflation and price pressures are likely to be affected by geopolitical tensions.
– Investors should monitor developments closely as they could impact energy markets.
geopolitical riskinflation pressures
▸ Full transcript
We know much more as to what the next steps are. But how much pressure is there? I mean, we are coming up to midterms, and this is not even dealing with some of the trickier issues in that broader ceasefire. Yes, that's right, Heidi. I mean, remember that when you're looking at the ceasefire, it's not just about control over the Strait of Hormuz, it's also about managing Iran's nuclear capabilities. A lot of concerns around there that already did seem very difficult to resolve when they went into those peace talks back in June. Yeah, I mean, look, this has been the same narrative at this point for several months. We're approaching ever-quickeningly the November midterms in the United States, obviously massive domestically, but what it says about price pressures, inflation, that kind of thing also has to be weighing on the mind of President Donald Trump. Bloomberg managing editor Jill Deis is there as we continue to watch for the next developments. More ahead on the Asia trade, this is Bloomberg.
Analysis

Concerns surrounding Iran's nuclear capabilities and control over the Strait of Hormuz are intensifying as the U.S. midterms approach, potentially impacting inflation and price pressures. The ongoing peace talks have not resolved these critical issues, which could weigh heavily on President Trump's decisions moving forward.

Smart money should note that the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly regarding Iran, could lead to volatility in oil prices and broader market implications as the midterms draw near. Investors should prepare for potential shifts in energy markets and inflationary pressures as these developments unfold.

17:25
PDT
Inflation volatility is likely to persist, increasing rate volatility.
BloombergKevin WalshNVIDIAJensen HuangAlphabetTencentAlibabaMonolith ManagementAnthropicMillenniumChinaUSPRIVATECL=F
– Correlation between stocks and bonds has flipped positive.
– Investors are under-allocated in alternatives and infrastructure.
– Market uncertainty is heightened ahead of US payroll data.
– Upcoming CPI report may influence Fed's decisions.
inflation volatilityrate volatilityinvestment alternativesinfrastructure allocation
▸ Full transcript
Up to the minute news whenever and wherever it happens. I'm Lisa Abramowitz in Rio de Janeiro, and this is Bloomberg. I mean, good morning. This is Bloomberg Savannah. Welcome back to the opening trade. It's Bloomberg money. This is the Asia trade. This is Wall Street Week. Welcome to Balance of Power. You're watching Bloomberg Deal. Welcome to Bloomberg this weekend. This is Bloomberg Television. In case you missed it, on Bloomberg Reef. Rolling inflation shocks are likely to persist for the foreseeable future. This increase in inflation volatility will lead to an increase in rate volatility, which means the correlation between stocks and bonds has flipped positive. We expect that to continue. The role that alternatives play when you think about infrastructure is where we're leaning into because clients have been under-allocated, especially on the retail side. Don't miss Bloomberg Breaks live every weekday, bringing you the latest business news wherever and whenever it happens. I'm Scarlett Foo reporting from America's biggest military shipyard. This is Bloomberg. Take a look at what we're watching when it comes to oil prices holding onto those gains as we can.
Analysis

Inflation volatility is expected to persist, leading to increased rate volatility and a positive correlation between stocks and bonds. This shift suggests that investors may need to reassess their allocations, particularly in alternatives and infrastructure, as retail clients remain under-allocated in these areas.

The market's uncertainty surrounding the Fed's reaction to upcoming payroll data highlights a broader ambiguity in macroeconomic stability. Smart money should note that the interplay between job numbers, revisions, and the Fed's stance could create significant volatility in the near term, particularly with the CPI report on the horizon.

17:23
PDT
Alphabet's bond sale attracted $115 billion in demand.
AlphabetMillennium ManagementAnthropicNVIDIAJensen HuangAILaboratory InitiativeGOOGLPRIVATE
– Total debt issuance by Alphabet since 2025 exceeds $114 billion.
– Millennium Management partners with Anthropic for AI risk analysis.
– Investor confidence in AI-related ventures is rising.
– AI integration in finance is becoming more prevalent.
AI investmentcorporate debtrisk management
▸ Full transcript
In this tech space, Alphabet is selling $25 billion of investment-grade bonds in one of the year's largest order books for AI-related debt. Helped by generous yield payouts, sources say Thursday's offering attracted some $115 billion of peak demand. The seller lifts Alphabet's debt issuance since 2025 to more than $114 billion, making it the biggest seller of AI-related bonds over that period. Millennium Management is partnering with Anthropic to build an AI-powered risk analyst using the company's cloud models. Engineers from both firms will develop tools to help risk managers uncover new insights and make decisions across asset classes. The partnership is part of Millennium's AI Laboratory Initiative, which is aimed at collaboration and attracting top tech talent. More ahead here in the Asia trade, this is Bloomberg.
Analysis

Alphabet has successfully sold $25 billion of investment-grade bonds, marking one of the largest offerings for AI-related debt this year, with peak demand reaching $115 billion. This issuance elevates Alphabet's total debt since 2025 to over $114 billion, solidifying its position as the largest seller of AI-related bonds during this period.

The significant demand for Alphabet's bonds indicates strong investor confidence in AI-related ventures, suggesting that the market is increasingly valuing companies with robust AI strategies. Additionally, Millennium Management's partnership with Anthropic to develop AI-powered risk analysis tools highlights the growing trend of integrating AI into traditional finance, which could reshape risk management practices across asset classes.

17:20
PDT
Chinese AI company seeks 500 billion yuan valuation in second fundraising round.
Min Min LoAlibabaTencentNational Artificial Intelligence Investment FundNvidiaJensen HuangAIIPONational Artificial Intelligence InvestmentMonolith ManagementUSDCNHNVDADXY
– V4 flash model's success attributed to deep discounts and competitive pricing.
– Company plans a $50 billion investment in data center expansion.
– IPO filing could occur as soon as this year.
– Strong interest from major investors like Alibaba and Tencent.
AI investmentChinese tech sectorIPO potential
▸ Full transcript
Dollars is bringing our China correspondent Min Min Lo for more. So do we know much about the level of interest given just how much interest, of course, there is in broader China AI at the moment? Yeah, the fundraising rounds have been coming fast and furious so soon after it closed its first round of fundraising, which had drawn interest from the likes of Alibaba, Tencent, and the National Artificial Intelligence Investment Fund. This time in the second round of fundraising, the company is seeking to secure evaluation of 500 billion yuan. That is an increase from the previous 350 billion yuan in the first round. We understand that Monolith Management will be contributing to this round of fundraising and certainly a lot of interest, particularly after the company released the V4 flash model, which has been very successful, has been topping some leaderboards in terms of the most used model. And that's thanks to some of the deep discounts it's been offering when it comes to prices as well. The company is, of course, looking to invest in its data center build-out. We previously reported that it was planning to build a one-gigawatt data center in Mongolia. That is something that could cost, you know, up to $50 billion according to estimates by Nvidia's Jensen Huang. So suddenly a lot of capital investment needed as the company looks to potentially file for an IPO even as soon as this year according to what sources are telling us.
Analysis

A Chinese AI company is rapidly advancing its fundraising efforts, seeking a valuation increase to 500 billion yuan in its second round, up from 350 billion yuan previously. This surge in interest follows the successful release of its V4 flash model, which has gained traction due to competitive pricing strategies.

Smart money should note the significant capital investment required for the company's data center expansion, estimated at up to $50 billion, as it prepares for a potential IPO this year. The involvement of major players like Alibaba and Tencent in the fundraising rounds indicates strong institutional confidence in the AI sector's growth potential in China.

17:14
PDT
Fed's rate hike path remains uncertain.
Kevin WalshFedUSCPISeptember Fed meetingSeptember FedFEDFUNDS
– Upcoming US payroll data is a key focus.
– Market pricing reflects ambiguity in Fed's communication.
– Rising oil prices could impact long-duration asset valuations.
– AI-related stocks may face challenges amid changing macro conditions.
Fed policymacro uncertaintyemployment data impact
▸ Full transcript
Lower as well, although I think the break-even rates are very high, so it does become problematic. But yeah, I think at the moment it's more about the rate of change rather than absolute levels. So how big of a risk is Friday's US payrolls that we're expecting now in the broader macroeconomic stability right now in the markets? It's difficult to say. I mean, I think if you look at the price action that we've got in one-year, one-year forward rates in the US, they're stuck in a range; 10-year real rates have been consolidating in a seven basis point range for the last seven days or so. I think that's just dramatic that the market is really just not sure what to do now because we've got a really nice balance pricing for the September Fed meeting in terms of swaps. The market just needs to know more about the Fed's reaction function. They've just been very cagey about that situation. Kevin Walsh has been giving us very, very little. And so pricing risk onto this payrolls number is very much a challenge. Not, it always is in the fact that, what do we look at? Do we look at where the absolute job numbers come in, the revisions, the unemployment rates? But then you've got to work out how much of this influence is the Fed meeting. And even though we've got a CPI number next week, which is expected to dissipate slightly. So the Fed has given us huge ambiguity as to what's going on at the moment. The market therefore is pricing this kind of balance situation, this uncertainty. And so therefore it's very difficult to see exactly.
Analysis

The market is currently grappling with uncertainty surrounding the Fed's rate hike path, particularly in light of upcoming US payroll data and inflation readings. This ambiguity is reflected in the consolidation of real rates and the cautious pricing of swaps ahead of the September Fed meeting.

Smart money should note that the market's indecision is compounded by the Fed's lack of clarity on its reaction function, which could lead to volatility around the payrolls number. Additionally, the interplay between rising oil prices and long-duration asset valuations may create further challenges for AI-related stock rallies.

17:12
PDT
Yen weakens past 158 against USD.
Japanese yenUS dollarSoftBankWestern DigitalSandiskSamsungSK HynixBrent crudeIranPresident TrumpFederal ReserveAtlanta FedCL=FFEDFUNDS
– SoftBank reports strong Q1 profit driven by AI investments.
– Rising oil prices may lead to repricing of rate hikes.
– Memory makers like Western Digital and Sandisk face significant declines.
– Corporate bond supply remains high with $130 billion still to issue.
currency volatilityAI investmentoil price impactcorporate bond supply
▸ Full transcript
The Japanese yen is struggling to maintain its gains against the US dollar, recently passing the 158 level, while companies like SoftBank report mixed earnings amid ongoing volatility in the AI sector. Investors should note the potential impact of rising oil prices on rate hike expectations, which could affect long-duration AI valuations and corporate bond supply dynamics.
Analysis

The Japanese yen is struggling to maintain its gains against the US dollar, recently passing the 158 level, while companies like SoftBank report mixed earnings amid ongoing volatility in the AI sector. Investors should note the potential impact of rising oil prices on rate hike expectations, which could affect long-duration AI valuations and corporate bond supply dynamics.

17:10
PDT
Microsoft's Co-Pilot shows strong customer growth.
MicrosoftAmazonAlphabetAtlanta FedAITPUMSFTAMZNGOOGLCL=FFEDFUNDS
– Amazon and Alphabet are monetizing AI effectively.
– Oil volatility is subsiding, allowing focus on equity fundamentals.
– U.S. growth is estimated at around 5% according to the Atlanta Fed model.
– Market sentiment is balancing with reduced volatility bets.
AI growthequity market fundamentals
▸ Full transcript
Into the hyper scalers. Microsoft numbers, what we've seen from Co-Pilot now, 30 million customers there, that's growing. They're starting to monetize that. That return on investor capital is starting to show credence. We've seen that in Amazon as well with their AI revenues really picking up quite sharply. Alphabet as well on the TPU side, they are monetizing this. I think people are having more conviction there. The capital flows into the hyper scalers and they've come off the ball a little bit last night, but certainly Microsoft's looking good at the moment. And I think people are moving away from that. Yeah, what has been a very, very strong momentum, you know, key components there. When it comes to anything related to AI and the AI trade and earnings results around it, how compelling are they as opposed to say the macro news right now that has again reversed itself with oil continuing to gain ground? Yeah, it's a difficult one. I mean, I think when you see oil out of the spotlight, and that doesn't really happen so often, but I think when they see the volatility subside and it gives investors a chance to really look at the fundamentals in the equity market, then we do see some very, very, very encouraging signs. I mean, growth in the U.S. is sort of running about 5% if you look at the Atlanta Fed model. People are taking down volatility bets. I mean, one month S&P skew is fairly balanced at the moment. I think people have taken that down. We need to see a little bit lower to get the...
Analysis

Microsoft's Co-Pilot has reached 30 million customers, indicating strong growth and monetization potential, while Amazon and Alphabet are also seeing significant AI revenue increases. The current market sentiment is shifting focus from oil volatility to the fundamentals of the equity market, revealing encouraging growth signs in the U.S. economy.

17:07
PDT
SoftBank's earnings beat expectations, driven by AI investments.
SoftBankWestern DigitalSandiskSK HynixSamsungChris WestonPepperstone GroupOpenAIAISKBloomberg MarketsAnthony StevensPRIVATE
– Western Digital and Sandisk are experiencing significant declines.
– The memory chip market is under pressure, affecting major players.
– Positioning in AI stocks is crucial for investors.
– Short sellers are benefiting from the current market conditions.
AI investment trendsmemory chip market volatility
▸ Full transcript
needs to play this role of maintaining confidence and holding the line even though its own financials start to get stressed. Now, for the markets as a whole, this is a great result for SoftBank in particular and its bond investors in particular; the aggressiveness of their approach continues to be a focus. Bloomberg Markets reporter Anthony Stevens there with the latest on SoftBank. And of course, we have plenty more companies reporting earnings here in Japan, more than 700 of them including Recruit and Olympus as well. Let's bring in Chris Weston to discuss the broader markets. He's the head of research at Pepperstone Group. Chris, great to have you with us. I mean, we were talking about SoftBank as really a proxy for the AI trade for OpenAI, not to mention their investments in AI infrastructure. We're seeing this sharp divide between the AI winners now because in the overnight session we had Western Digital and Sandisk just plunging. What differentiates the winners and losers at this point in time in the AI frenzy? Well, I think positioning is such a big part of it now. I mean, you know, the memory space has come off completely. And, you know, we've seen that now with SK Hynix and Samsung. You know, they had a bit of a bounce the last couple of days, but now they're back, you know, printing new lows in this run that we've been seeing recently. And, yeah, we know the memory story is still a winner for 2026, 2027. But the price action is just absolutely terrible at the moment and, you know, shorts are having an easy time because the buyers...
Analysis

SoftBank's recent earnings report highlights its strong position in the AI sector, particularly through its investments in OpenAI and AI infrastructure. However, the memory chip market is facing significant challenges, with companies like Western Digital and Sandisk experiencing sharp declines, indicating a divide between AI winners and losers.

The current volatility in the memory space suggests that while AI-related investments may thrive, traditional memory chip producers are struggling, creating opportunities for short sellers. Investors should closely monitor the performance of AI-related stocks versus memory chip companies to identify potential shifts in market sentiment.

17:03
PDT
Fed's rate hike path is uncertain amid fluctuating inflation expectations.
FedChairman WalshSoftBankIntelBitansIranStrait of HormuzUSIsraelASXAIPresident TrumpFEDFUNDSCL=FASXPRIVATE
– Treasury yields are falling as oil prices rebound.
– SoftBank reported a profit beat, driven by specific investments.
– Investors are focused on SoftBank's AI exposure and future returns.
– Geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz may impact oil prices.
Fed policyoil price volatilityAI investments
▸ Full transcript
As to the path ahead for the Fed, we also heard potential more questions over Fed independence as well with these communications or the efforts being made by President Trump. Treasury is falling in the overnight session certainly as these oil prices continue to rebound from three-week lows. These expectations as to what the Fed might do with its rate hike path are really very much in flux at the moment. These expectations have mounted further after we heard that report that Chairman Walsh is prepared to hike if inflation readings in the coming weeks come in hotter than he'd like. Oil, of course, will be a big part of that as we see the continued gain in this session. Brent crude coming online high by 1% after gains in the previous session as well. These reports that Iran attacked hostile targets in the Strait of Hormuz, this agreement over whether US and Israeli ships will be allowed to pass and this fee structure that Iran is pushing for as well. We've had quite a heady week when it comes to Australian stocks. The ASX at the moment opening lower by half a percent after of course that record high earlier in the week. Sherry and Heidi will be watching one stock in particular here in Japan, SoftBank, posting a beat in its first quarter profit with gains from its Intel stake and a rise in the value of Bitans helping offset weaker performance elsewhere in its portfolio. The focus for investors remains on its growing exposure to open AI and when those AI bets will begin to translate into meaningful returns.
Analysis

The Fed's rate hike path remains uncertain as Treasury yields fall amid rising oil prices, with Chairman Walsh indicating readiness to hike if inflation readings exceed expectations. SoftBank's first-quarter profit beat, driven by gains from its Intel stake and Bitans, highlights investor focus on its AI investments and their potential future returns.

Smart money should note the implications of rising oil prices on inflation and Fed policy, which could lead to increased volatility in markets. Additionally, SoftBank's performance may signal broader trends in tech investments, particularly in AI, as investors await tangible returns from these bets.

17:01
PDT
Yen weakens past 158 against USD.
JapanUSRecruit HoldingsOlympusSandusWestern DigitalSamsungSK HynixJGBSKThe NikkeiSouth KoreaDXY
– Japanese car makers forecast yen at 151.60 for next year.
– Over 700 companies reporting today, including Recruit Holdings and Olympus.
– Solid demand in the 30-year JGB auction.
– Volatility expected in South Korean memory makers.
currency volatilityearnings impactbond market dynamics
▸ Full transcript
We're seeing really a struggle for the currency to maintain those gains. So just a myriad of things for investors to be watching for. The yen passed the 158 level against the US dollar, already weakening again. And this, of course, after all that yen buying that Heidi just mentioned, by Japan and the US, the first coordination since 1998. But we're seeing the pressure on the currency increasing. When it comes to those companies, more than 700 are reporting today, including Recruit Holdings and Olympus. The Nikkei opened higher by a tenth of 1 percent, but there are a lot of variables in today's session as well, given the uncertainty around the Japanese yen. Interestingly, Japanese car makers came out and forecast their yen assumptions until next year. They see it around 151.60, so not really any meaningful appreciation of the currency as of yet. Also, keep an eye on JGBs because we actually saw solid demand in the 30-year JGB auction yesterday. Take a look at how South Korea is opening. In today's session, whether it's Japan or South Korea, we have to watch those memory makers. We had the likes of Sandus and Western Digital also plunging after their earnings results, so we could potentially see some volatility in the stocks in this part of the session. Although in early trading in South Korea, we are seeing some upside for Samsung and SK Hynix, while a lot of volatility for the Kospi.
Analysis

The Japanese yen is struggling to maintain its gains against the US dollar, recently passing the 158 level, indicating increasing pressure on the currency despite coordinated buying efforts by Japan and the US. Japanese car manufacturers forecast a yen assumption of around 151.60 for next year, suggesting limited appreciation potential in the near term.

Investors should note the volatility in the memory maker sector, particularly following disappointing earnings from companies like Sandus and Western Digital, which could impact stock performance in South Korea. The solid demand observed in the recent 30-year JGB auction may indicate underlying confidence in Japanese government bonds amidst currency concerns.

16:59
PDT
Africa CDC is recognized as a key player in public health in Africa.
Africa CDC23andMeUSCDCParadise AheadReading DayGuy JohnsonAnna EdwardsTom McDavid GuarraPRIVATE
– Collaboration with the US is deemed essential for ongoing support.
– 23andMe is highlighted as a valuable company in the health sector.
– There is a potential shift towards health-related investments in Africa.
– Criticism faced by public health leaders does not diminish their importance.
public health investmentbiotech opportunities
▸ Full transcript
We value the support we got and we are still getting from the US. We think that if we continue to work together, there is no reason for the US not to work for Africa CDC, which is the leader in terms of public health in Africa. Mind being called an ideological lunatic or a bunch of left-wing nutjobs? You know, I've been called worse things than that. 23andMe, I think, is so incredibly valuable. We're coming back. What magazines were you reading as a kid? I don't think I was reading magazines until I was in them. So is it Paradise Ahead or Gadica? Maybe somewhere in the middle. Reading Day is about to start. And you're already looking for that edge. The opening trade brings you everything you need to know as markets open across Europe. I'm Guy Johnson. I'm Anna Edwards. And I'm Tom McKenzie. This is your opening trade. Only on Bloomberg, bringing you up to the minute news whenever and wherever it happens. I'm David Guarra in Aspen, Colorado, and this is Bloomberg.
Analysis

The Africa CDC is positioned as a leader in public health for the continent, emphasizing the importance of collaboration with the US for ongoing support. Despite facing criticism, the value of companies like 23andMe is highlighted, suggesting a potential shift in focus towards health-related investments in Africa.

Smart money should note the growing emphasis on public health infrastructure in Africa, which could attract investment opportunities as the continent seeks to enhance its capabilities. The mention of 23andMe indicates a broader trend towards valuing genetic and health data, which may influence future investment strategies in biotech and health tech sectors.

16:57
PDT
NVIDIA aims to cut memory usage in chips.
NVIDIAAppleCXMTWestern DigitalSandiskAnthony StevensSequoia CapitalPatrick GradyLeopold AshenbrunnerKing GriffinCitadel SecuritiesWaymo
– Apple is unable to secure memory price cuts from CXMT.
– Retail positioning in memory has decreased significantly.
– Implied volatility in memory stocks is not reacting aggressively.
– Market focus is shifting to fundamentals over speculative trading.
memory market dynamicsretail positioningtech stock volatility
▸ Full transcript
Countries, all of them are funding to Africa. Some of these programs were supported by funding coming from Western countries, like for human resources, for testing, for transportation of samples.
Analysis

NVIDIA is reportedly looking to reduce memory usage in its high-end chips, indicating a shift in the memory market dynamics as demand destruction emerges due to pricing pressures. Meanwhile, Apple is struggling to secure a memory price cut from CXMT, highlighting the tightness in the memory market and its implications for future pricing actions.

The retail positioning in the memory space has significantly decreased, which may provide a supportive flow for the memory trade going forward. As the focus shifts from aggressive trading to fundamental analysis, the market may experience a slower upward trajectory as technology matures and capacity comes online.

16:54
PDT
Deepsea plans a significant price hike for its V4 Flash models.
DeepseaNVIDIAAppleCXMTSamsung ElectronicsKyokushin HoldingsWestern DigitalSandiskSequoia CapitalPatrick GradyLeopold AshenbrunnerCitadel Securities
– External investor pressure may push companies towards profitability.
– Memory demand is tightening, with pushback against DRAM supply expectations.
– Retail positioning in tech stocks is declining, affecting implied volatility.
– Focus is shifting from aggressive trading to fundamental valuations.
AI monetizationmemory pricing dynamicsinvestment strategy
▸ Full transcript
That most we can do, and that's sort of how we ended up with that number. Is it fair to go as far as to say how much money can we deploy without putting the firm at risk? That was part of the conversation. Two and a half or five would be comfortable numbers as far as that goes, but one thing we've never done is SPVs. We're not in this SPV business where you speak for something. I think we have not time today to talk about SPVs. Yeah, so we don't do that stuff. And so two and a half billion was what we could do out of the core funds committed capital. Yeah, let me ask you this or give some background. Growth, early stage, since 2017, you've led the growth, co-led, you've co-led early stage, but you sass consumer. But there's a lot of overlap, right? You have made significant growth stage investments and joined boards. You've made early stage investments, particularly in AI. Just talk a little bit about how the two of you see that progressing, forward-looking. I think it's very, very simple, which is like, if you've been in this business a long period of time, you know what a good early stage investment looks like, you know what a good growth investment looks like. So Pat has been traditionally a growth investor; he made the early investment in Harvey. I've seen how early stage companies grow and advocated for growth investments in Airbnb and Door-to-Age when they grew up. And over time I think, if you've been in this business long enough, you'll make both early investments and growth investments. We have Constantine, the champion, Citadel Securities, and Waymo. We talked about Sean. We have David that has...
Analysis

Deepsea's unexpected price hike for its V4 Flash models signals a potential turning point for Chinese AI models, possibly easing pressure on the broader AI sector to monetize effectively. The ongoing demand destruction in memory pricing, coupled with NVIDIA's efforts to reduce memory usage, highlights a critical dynamic in the tech landscape that could shape future price actions.

16:52
PDT
Sequoia Capital invested $400 million in an undisclosed AI company.
Sequoia CapitalPatrick GradyLeopold AshenbrunnerKing GriffinAnthropicAISilicon ValleyPRIVATE
– Leopold Ashenbrunner is recognized as a key player in the AI supply chain.
– The investment reflects confidence in the AI sector's growth potential.
– Strategic positioning is crucial in the competitive AI landscape.
– Market dynamics are shifting towards situational awareness in investments.
AI investmentsituational awarenessSilicon Valley dynamics
▸ Full transcript
Are the best way to glean signal from noise, and that is what we try to do every morning. This is Bloomberg's Surveillance. Sequoia Capital says situational awareness has invested $400 million in a company that it has backed. Sequoia's partner, Patrick Grady, also told Bloomberg that Leopold Ashenbrunner had approached the firm about taking over some positions. It has been reported that we were talking with them about the Anthropic stake. You know, King Griffin showed up with what was a better solution for Leopold at that moment in time and he went with the better solution. I think that our observation is that there is this game on the field over the last couple of years investing in the AI supply chain. Leopold was one of the first people to recognize that that was the game on the field. And on balance, he played it pretty darn well. And so our suspicion is that he's going to be a fixture in Silicon Valley for a long time to come. I wanted to get to the Valar case study. We've talked a bit about Sean. Just on one, on situational awareness. We did just wire $400 million to a company that we invested in. Oh, could you, we actually reported on the $400 million, but haven't got a clue who the company is? Yeah, no comment on that. But he's not. There you are, there's a good one. He's not, he's gonna be around. He's really good. He's gonna be around.
Analysis

Sequoia Capital has invested $400 million in an undisclosed company, indicating strong confidence in the AI supply chain sector. Leopold Ashenbrunner's strategic moves in this space suggest he will remain a significant player in Silicon Valley for the foreseeable future.

The lack of clarity on the identity of the company receiving the investment highlights the ongoing competitive dynamics in AI, where smart money is increasingly focused on situational awareness and strategic positioning. This investment could signal a broader trend of capital flowing into AI-related ventures, emphasizing the importance of identifying key players in this evolving landscape.

16:50
PDT
Market focus is shifting to fundamentals in the AI sector.
BloombergAnthony StevensDeepseekMonolithAlibabaTencentNational Artificial Intelligence Investment FundSamsung ElectronicsKyokushin HoldingsNVIDIACXMTAIPRIVATE
– Expect a slow upward price movement rather than aggressive gains.
– Maturation of AI narrative may stabilize growth opportunities.
– Investors should identify companies with strong execution capabilities.
– The energy sector remains critical for economic growth.
AI sector maturationenergy infrastructuremarket volatilitytech stock dynamics
▸ Full transcript
But on the other hand, the price action is likely to be less aggressive to the upside as a result. So it's going to be more of a slow grind to the upside as fundamentals get repriced. That is the crux of their report in that the focus moves to the fundamentals and away from aggressive chasing of flow as the excitement around the picture of AI becomes a more mature story around who is executing, what capacity is coming online, and how is the technology maturing? Yeah, perhaps we can all step back a little bit and breathe. Anthony Stevens, market reporter there for Bloomberg, of course, with the latest on the moves and more ahead on the Asia trade. This is Bloomberg. Every modern economy depends on one invisible advantage, reliable power. Without it, there is no AI economy, no advanced manufacturing, no modern healthcare, no water security. Power isn't just another industry. It's the infrastructure behind it. Every major growth story should begin with one question. Where will the power come from? That's the business of power, knowing how governments should plan and which economies have the infrastructure to scale. Middle East energy, where possibility becomes...
Analysis

The market is shifting focus from aggressive trading to a more measured approach as fundamentals are repriced, particularly in the AI sector. This transition indicates a maturation of the AI narrative, emphasizing execution and capacity over speculative excitement.

Smart money should note that the current environment may lead to a slow grind upward in asset prices, as the excitement around AI technology evolves into a more stable growth story. This could create opportunities for investors who are prepared to identify companies that are effectively executing their strategies amidst changing market dynamics.

16:47
PDT
NVIDIA aims to cut memory usage in high-end chips.
NVIDIAAppleCXMTWestern DigitalSanDiskKoreaDRAMThe InformationNVDAAAPLCXMT
– Apple is facing challenges in negotiating memory prices.
– Retail positioning in memory stocks has decreased significantly.
– Implied volatility in memory stocks is not reacting to market declines.
– Deleveraging in retail may support future memory trade dynamics.
memory market dynamicsretail positioningsupply chain challenges
▸ Full transcript
Also seeing some kind of demand destruction on memory demand from the pricing. You're getting pushback on this idea that there will be DRAM supply coming, and people want to keep paying up these prices for DRAM. That demand versus supply kind of dynamic and that debate is what is driving memory here. So we have this headline out from The Information that NVIDIA is looking to reduce memory usage in its top-of-the-line chips. This goes alongside Chinese innovation in pretty much the same area on how to reduce the memory intensity of the kind of go-forward technology. While this capacity is booked out, at the same time, you see Apple; there's speculation that Apple is failing to get a memory price cut from CXMT. So that market is very tight, and what can be done about it seems to be determining the future price action. Now, one thing that you kind of touched on is retail positioning in the space has come off pretty materially. For example, it was interesting to see Western Digital and SanDisk, despite having a very sharp move lower after earnings, saw implied volatility fall. And that's something we've seen in Korea recently as well; as the market falls, implied volatility in Korea is kind of stuck. It's not reacting in a panic fashion. So maybe some of this retail deleveraging sets a kind of a flow underpinning for the memory trade going forward. And then given all of the volatility that we've seen in tech stocks, especially with the ongoing on-and-off sell-off as well.
Analysis

NVIDIA is reportedly looking to reduce memory usage in its top-tier chips, indicating a shift in the memory market dynamics as demand remains tight. Speculation around Apple struggling to secure a memory price cut from CXMT highlights the ongoing challenges in the memory supply chain.

Retail positioning in the memory sector has notably decreased, with companies like Western Digital and SanDisk experiencing a drop in implied volatility despite sharp declines post-earnings. This suggests that retail deleveraging may provide a supportive flow for the memory trade, even amidst the volatility seen in tech stocks.

16:45
PDT
Deepsea is hiking prices for its AI models.
DeepseaSamsung ElectronicsSouth KoreaChinaMimi LohAIFrom ChineseKyokushin Holdings
– The price hike may indicate a shift towards profitability in the AI sector.
– Other companies may follow Deepsea's lead in raising prices.
– Samsung Electronics shows potential upside in the South Korean market.
– The South Korean market is experiencing deep deleveraging.
AI profitabilityprice inflationSouth Korean market dynamics
▸ Full transcript
From Chinese models, right? So what do we make of this price hike? Is it being seen as something of a turning point for these Chinese AI models? Yeah, it was quite an unexpected news release yesterday when Deepsea announced it would be significantly hiking prices after the discount set it offered on the V4 Flash. Not clear yet, it hasn't provided details as to how big the price hike is but it's giving a warning to clients to start preparing for that move. But yes, you combine with news of the fundraising, perhaps there's a little bit more pressure now from external investors for the company to pursue profitability. And to your point, it's probably seen as a good thing and potentially an inflection point that would relieve the pressure valve a little bit and give some room for other companies to raise prices as well. So this could bode well for the broader AI sector in general when there has been so much pressure when it comes to monetization. When we're trying to correspond to Mimi Loh there with the latest as we're also waiting for the open of South Korea, of course, take a look at how we're setting up Samsung Electronics pointing to some upside of nine-tenths of one percent. Here in Japan, we're also watching Kyokushin Holdings. The broad South Korea market has been pretty active, right? We're talking about a plunge of about five percent just yesterday as well. This coming as we continue to see these deep deleveraging in the South Korea market. Interestingly enough, the Korean won though has seen some highs against the U.S.
Analysis

Deepsea's unexpected price hike for its AI models signals a potential turning point in the Chinese AI sector, as it prepares clients for increased costs. This move may relieve pressure on profitability and encourage other companies to follow suit, indicating a shift in the monetization landscape for AI technologies.

The price increase could be a strategic response to external investor pressures, suggesting that the broader AI sector may be entering a phase where profitability becomes a priority. This shift could lead to a more sustainable business model for AI companies, potentially attracting more investment and stabilizing the market.

16:43
PDT
Corporate earnings in Japan are robust, with upward revisions in market consensus.
JapanSoftBankNintendoJPMorgan SecuritiesDeani ShiharaOCBCOak Tree Capital ManagementUWMMatt IshibiaJane StreetPIMCODeepseekPRIVATEUSDCNHDXY
– Major banks have exceeded earnings estimates, indicating potential upside for financials.
– Japan's long-term growth rate has reached a record high of 6%.
– Government hints at investment shifts and FX interventions to support the yen.
– SoftBank and Nintendo reported better-than-expected earnings.
corporate earningsfinancial sector outlookcurrency interventionAI investment
▸ Full transcript
Management on Bloomberg Money. A different topic every weekday, only on Bloomberg television. The countdown is on. Everything you need to get the edge at the end of the market day. Get ahead of tomorrow's trading with the close. Weekdays on Bloomberg. Context changes everything. Get your fixed income fix. Watch Bloomberg Real Yield now at its new time. Thursdays at 12 PM Eastern, right here on Bloomberg. Bloomberg has learned that Deepseek is resuming its second funding round, seeking close to $8 billion. Let's bring our China correspondent, Imin Lo, for the latest. What do we know about this? How much interest is there? We know that Monolith is one of the companies that might be contributing to this round of fundraising. Not much clarity yet on who else would be involved, but we know the first round of fundraising had drawn interest from the likes of Alibaba, Tencent, as well as the National Artificial Intelligence Investment Fund. Likely still to be a lot of interest in this company that has been such an icon in the Chinese AI space. Right, it's seeking to raise close to eight billion dollars at a valuation of 500 billion yuan. This is a step up from the 350 billion yuan that it raised in the first round and some of that funding.
Analysis

Japan's corporate earnings remain strong despite higher oil prices impacting EPS by approximately 6%. The market consensus continues to show upward revisions, indicating confidence in financials, particularly as major banks exceed estimates.

The shift in Japan's business mindset towards spending and wage growth is noteworthy, with long-term growth now at a record high of 6%. Additionally, the government's potential investment shifts and FX interventions suggest a strategic approach to maintaining a stronger yen amidst economic pressures.

16:41
PDT
Jane Street seeks to refinance $11 billion of debt, possibly increasing to $15 billion.
Jane StreetPIMCOOak Tree Capital ManagementFF GroupUWMMatt IshibiaBloombergFFFDChief Executive Officer MattWall StreetKami TiefsPRIVATEDXY
– The refinancing aims to transition borrowing from public markets to private lenders.
– Involvement of PIMCO suggests strong institutional interest in private credit.
– This move may limit financial disclosures for Jane Street.
– The shift could impact liquidity dynamics on Wall Street.
private creditcapital managementliquidity dynamics
▸ Full transcript
It as dividend for the first time. The company also unveiled a dollar equity capital investment by Oak Tree Capital Management, an FF Group capital of around $2 billion and a new investment vehicle owned by UWM's Chief Executive Officer Matt Ishibia and his family. Jane Street is said to be in talks to refinance $11 billion of debt with investors including PIMCO and what could become one of the largest private credit deals on Wall Street. The FD reporting that the financing could be upsized to as much as $15 billion and completed as soon as next week, the trading firm is looking to shift its borrowing from public markets to private lenders, providing flexibility and limiting financial disclosures. More ahead on the Asia trade, this is Bloomberg. Start your search for JPMorgan in Kami Tiefs.
Analysis

Jane Street is negotiating to refinance $11 billion of debt, potentially increasing to $15 billion, marking a significant shift from public to private lending. This move aims to enhance flexibility and reduce financial disclosures, indicating a strategic pivot in capital management.

The involvement of major players like PIMCO in this refinancing deal highlights a trend towards private credit solutions among trading firms, which could reshape liquidity dynamics on Wall Street. Smart money should note the implications of this shift for market transparency and the potential for increased private capital flows.

16:39
PDT
Mega-cap banks show strong earnings performance.
SoftBankNintendoJPMorgan SecuritiesDeani ShiharaOCBCBut Deani ShiharaMorgan SecuritiesVision FundSingapore LanderDXY
– SoftBank's net income decline was less severe than anticipated.
– Nintendo benefited from tariff refunds and strong game sales.
– Over 700 companies are reporting results today.
– Market sentiment appears optimistic for financials.
earnings seasonfinancial sector performanceconsumer electronics sales
▸ Full transcript
I mean, all three mega-cap banks have beat their estimates, right? So, it seems to be almost consensus that there's more upside for financials. But Deani Shihara, it's really good to have you with us, chief Japan equity strategist at JPMorgan Securities. And of course, we do have a few earnings to watch today, more than 700 companies reporting results. SoftBank is one that we're closely watching. Their quarterly net income fell only 18 percent to 347 billion yen, which was above estimates, and realized gains from Intel really offset some weaker Vision Fund holdings. Nintendo's report card also showed stronger than expected earnings. It got a boost from tariff refunds with the U.S. and strong sales of in-house titles for its flagship Switch 2 console. Net income came in at $934 million, beating estimates. ADRs closed at a 7 percent premium in the U.S. hiding. Let's get you caught up with some of the corporate headlines that we're following this hour, Sherry, and Singapore Lander OCBC's second quarter.
Analysis

All three mega-cap banks have exceeded their earnings estimates, indicating a consensus view that financials may have further upside. Notably, SoftBank's quarterly net income fell 18% but still surpassed estimates, while Nintendo reported stronger-than-expected earnings driven by tariff refunds and robust sales of its flagship console.

16:36
PDT
Yen trading at 158 against USD; corporate assumptions for FY 2026 at 152.
JapanUSGPIFFYFXDXY
– Government hints at GPIF investment shift; FX intervention noted.
– Corporate earnings show strong growth, but investment sentiment remains cautious.
– Household break-even for real income growth is at 160.
– Tariff costs and oil prices continue to impact corporate earnings.
currency volatilityJapanese equitiesoil price impact
▸ Full transcript
The economy, the circle of good economy. How are they viewing the strength of the yen right now? 158, yeah. But from a perspective of equity markets, actually, dollar yen below 160 is okay, you know, I mean manageable. Corporate assumption for FY 2026, dollar yen is 152 with a conservative bias, and 150 is last year's average. So our break-even for households' real income growth is 160. Of course, each administration's fiscal expansion continues to apply weakening pressure, but we also heard last month that the government hinted at a potential GPIF investment shift, and we saw Japan-US join FX intervention. So government address should keep the yen a bit strong.
Analysis

The yen has crossed the 158 level against the US dollar, with corporate assumptions for FY 2026 set at 152, indicating a conservative outlook. The Japanese government is hinting at potential shifts in GPIF investments and has engaged in FX intervention to maintain a stronger yen amidst ongoing economic pressures.

Despite the current strength of corporate earnings, with a year-on-year sales growth of 15% and net income growth of 50%, there remains a cautious sentiment regarding future investments and wage growth in Japan. The break-even point for households is at 160, suggesting that while the yen's strength is manageable, it may not translate into broader economic confidence or spending.

16:34
PDT
Japan's corporate earnings are outperforming U.S. and European peers.
Ria NishiharaJP Morgan SecuritiesJapanU.S.EuropeoilEPSCL=F
– Long-term growth in Japan has reached a record high of 6%.
– Higher oil prices are expected to impact EPS by approximately 6%.
– Market consensus continues to revise earnings upward despite challenges.
– Businesses are still cautious about future investments.
corporate earnings growthJapan economic outlookoil price impact
▸ Full transcript
Tariff costs are still in play at the moment. Prices this year have actually seen a slight decrease in the price transfer ratio, now around 68, still higher than 50% in the differential economy. Corporate earnings remain strong, with an EPS impact from higher oil prices estimated to be a 6% point decline. However, market consensus continues to revise earnings upward even after this march. Do businesses themselves understand the strength of their business right now? The issue with Japan has always been cash hoarding; businesses are not spending on the future and not paying the salaries of employees, which prevents a virtuous cycle of wage growth. Are we seeing a change in mindset? Yes, long-term growth is now at 6%, which is a record high these days.
Analysis

Corporate earnings in Japan are showing strong growth, with year-on-year sales growth at 15% and net income growth at 50%. However, businesses are still hesitant to invest in future growth and employee wages, which could hinder a virtuous cycle of wage growth.

16:32
PDT
Japanese corporate earnings are outperforming U.S. and European peers.
Ria NishiharaJP Morgan SecuritiesRecruitOlympusJapanU.S.EuropeIran WarJPMorgan SecuritiesCL=F
– Sales growth year-on-year is reported at 15%, with net income growth at 50%.
– The yen is forecasted to stabilize between 150 to 160 through March 2027.
– Rising oil prices and supply chain disruptions are key risks to monitor.
– Investor focus may shift towards Japanese equities due to strong earnings.
Japanese corporate earningsyen stabilizationrising oil pricesmacro backdrop
▸ Full transcript
Momentum driving further yen gains seems to be influenced by risks around the Iran War and rising oil prices, which also means rising costs and supply chain disruptions. We will be watching for some of that narrative coming from all of these companies reporting earnings, including the likes of Recruit and Olympus. We've already heard some of those yen forecasts from Japanese car makers as well, around 150 to 160 through March of 2027. We will also be talking about the macroeconomic backdrop and what rising yields mean for some of these companies, especially banks. Let's bring in our next guest to see if strength is extending beyond the semiconductor sector. Earnings season is showing profit growth drivers broadening. With us now is Ria Nishihara, chief Japan equity strategist at JP Morgan Securities. Ria, it's really good to have you back. What are you seeing so far in the earnings season here? Yes, corporate earnings are very, very strong. As you said, more than half of the major companies have reported, and sales growth year on year is 15 percent, with net income growth at 50 percent. They are stronger than their peers in the U.S. and Europe. We have to remember that the strong earnings growth was realized under...
Analysis

Japanese corporate earnings are showing remarkable strength, with over half of major companies reporting a 15% year-on-year sales growth and a 50% increase in net income, outperforming peers in the U.S. and Europe. This robust performance comes amid rising oil prices and supply chain disruptions, which could impact future earnings narratives for companies like Recruit and Olympus.

The strong earnings growth in Japan suggests a potential shift in investor focus towards Japanese equities, especially as the yen stabilizes between 150 to 160 against the dollar. Smart money should consider the implications of rising yields on banks and the broader macroeconomic backdrop as these factors could influence investment strategies moving forward.

16:27
PDT
Yen weakens past 158 against USD.
BloombergAndy BurnhamJapanUSJapanese car makersDowning StreetPrime MinisterPRIVATEDXY
– Japanese car makers forecast yen at 150-160 through March 2027.
– Market shows lack of confidence in yen strength.
– US-Japan intervention aimed at stabilizing currency.
– Potential impact on Japanese exporters' earnings.
currency volatilityJapanese exportscentral bank intervention
▸ Full transcript
I love the idea to relax row. When I was a teenager, young in my 20s flying, when I saw an empty row of three seats and the plane taking off, I had never been more excited. And as soon as you got up to about 35,000 feet, I was on it, trying to lie down and move the armrest to make this work. I spent a number of trips when I was young and non-revving, doing the same thing. When you're the same, you spot those three seats, that's mine. And you see someone else on get up, it's not a chance. It actually happened with my younger son. Don't miss Bloomberg surveillance, live every weekday. News breaks. In comes the car into Downing Street. Bloomberg has you covered. Andy Burnham arriving. For all the context and clarity you need. A broad vision here from the new Prime Minister. Here at first on Bloomberg. Take a look at how currencies are trading with the yen now passed at 158 level against the US dollar. Of course, we're clawing back some of those gains that we saw during the US-Japan intervention to support the currency. We have heard from Japanese car makers that their forecast is assuming the yen between 150 to 160 through March 2027. It doesn't seem like they have a lot of faith when it comes to the strength of the Japanese.
Analysis

The yen has weakened past the 158 level against the US dollar, indicating a lack of confidence in its strength as Japanese car makers forecast the yen to remain between 150 to 160 through March 2027. This suggests that the market is bracing for continued volatility in currency valuations, which could impact export competitiveness and corporate earnings in Japan.

Smart money should note the implications of the yen's depreciation on Japanese exporters, particularly in the automotive sector, as they adjust their forecasts based on currency expectations. Additionally, the ongoing US-Japan intervention highlights the delicate balance central banks must maintain to stabilize their currencies amidst global economic pressures.

16:22
PDT
Weak yen may prompt Japanese pension funds to repatriate capital, affecting US Treasuries.
JapanBank of JapanUS TreasuryGoldman SachsJP MorganMizuhoOpenAIShinza AbeRia NishiharaBloombergAIUSUSDCNH
– BOJ's rate normalization could stabilize markets and support Japanese equities.
– US equities appear undervalued compared to non-US markets on a five-year basis.
– Quality factors in US stocks are outperforming, indicating a selective investment approach.
– AI stocks are showing strong earnings growth, suggesting a potential shift in market leadership.
currency stabilizationAI market dynamicsUS-China competitionequity valuation
▸ Full transcript
What about the trickle-down trade? Is that happening across the broadening when you're saying that you need to be more selective? Our view on the broadening trade has been a little bit different than most strategists. I think a lot of strategists came into this year saying it's time for the market to broaden. And we said, we think this is more of a tug of war and you're going to see a back and forth between kind of the old leadership and kind of the rest of the market. And we've had a few twists and turns in that already. To be honest, we got to a situation a couple of months ago where kind of the old AI tech mega-cap growth leadership got overvalued. I think that valuation problem has been largely solved. One of the things we're seeing on our data as we go through earnings is that if you look at a broader basket of AI stocks, you've seen a tremendous kind of upside surprise in the earnings growth for 2026. It's still showing a lot of superiority versus the rest of the market. One of the things we've said is that until the rest of the market can give you a better earnings story, we think you're just going to flip back and forth between the two. When you get the valuation problem on one, you'll go into the other, and then when you solve that, you'll go back again. I think that's what we're in the middle of right now. How much of the views on US tech quality value forecasting is being challenged by the China AI story? Look, I think as we kind of go back and look at some of the things we've heard from the administration in the US, they've made it clear that they're sort of fusing economic security and national security, and they want the US to win the AI race. So that's something that's been coming up a bit this week as well.
Analysis

The ongoing weakness in the yen could lead Japanese pension funds to unwind Treasury positions, potentially increasing long-term yields and dampening market sentiment. The Bank of Japan's ability to control the narrative and possibly hike rates by year-end may serve as a positive catalyst for Japanese equities, contrasting with the risks of prolonged yen weakness.

16:20
PDT
U.S. equities are looking cheap relative to non-U.S. markets.
U.S.non-U.S.communication servicesconsumer discretionarytech sectorDMFEDFUNDS
– High earnings quality is outperforming in both large and small cap U.S. stocks.
– Investors should focus on management quality and sector selection.
– Technology is spread across multiple sectors, not just confined to tech.
– Challenges in free cash flow may necessitate a selective investment strategy.
valuation disparityquality investingsector diversification
▸ Full transcript
We've been talking about the Fed. We've been talking about tech. We've been talking about the midterm elections. And I think against the backdrop of all that, right, it's just where valuations are. And we actually think if you look at like U.S. versus non-U.S., you've gotten to a really interesting place again. Basically, you know, after this burst of geographical leadership or broadening we saw, the U.S. is actually looking cheap on a five-year basis versus the rest of the world. So we do think that helps dampen, you know, some of the challenges we're dealing with on a day-to-day basis. Yeah. You can take a look at the chart that is looking at that sort of quality factors. Even if you still have to deal with the momentum, the gyrations when it comes to the chip trade in particular, we are seeing a kind of a lid being kept on volatility measures as we've seen the quality and value factors actually improve for the U.S. Where do you see that? Because tech actually, if you, I guess, go by the lofty earnings expectations, looks pretty cheap in DM. Yeah. So, you know, look, I would just say on the quality factor, I cover both large cap and small cap in the U.S. and we've been seeing high earnings quality outperform for a bit now and we're starting to see it in the large cap space as well. We've been highlighting that to investors this week saying this is a time to be more selective and you can think about quality, you know, not just as a quant factor, right, but in selection of management teams and just being more discriminating within whatever sector you're in. And your point on technology, I mean, you know, I think in the financial community we often say tech. Tech is hiding in a bunch of different sectors. Communication services, consumer discretionaries, where most of the internet names are. You're having a little bit more challenges on free cash flow. But if you look at the tech sector, it's.
Analysis

U.S. equities are appearing undervalued compared to non-U.S. markets, particularly on a five-year basis, which may help mitigate daily market challenges. The quality factor is gaining traction, with high earnings quality outperforming, indicating a need for selective investment strategies focused on management quality across sectors.

Investors should note that technology is not confined to its traditional sector, as it spans communication services and consumer discretionary sectors, which may present hidden opportunities. The ongoing challenges in free cash flow for tech companies could lead to a more discerning investment approach, emphasizing quality over quantity.

16:16
PDT
OpenAI's valuation is critical for its funding structure.
OpenAIGoldman SachsJP MorganMizuhoSoftBankJapanJPRia NishiharaPRIVATEGC=F
– SoftBank's investment in OpenAI is substantial at $65 billion.
– Investor caution is rising regarding tech valuations.
– Earnings season in Japan is approaching.
– Liquidity tightening may impact tech investments.
AI investment riskJapanese earnings seasonliquidity tightening
▸ Full transcript
The two-year facility was arranged by banks including Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, and Mizuho and requires additional collateral or early repayment if OpenAI's valuation falls sharply. SoftBank's total investment in OpenAI is expected to reach $65 billion by October. We'll break down Japan's earnings season with JP Morgan's securities chief Japan equity strategist Ria Nishihara later this hour. More ahead. This is Bloomberg.
Analysis

OpenAI's valuation is under scrutiny as a two-year facility arranged by Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, and Mizuho requires additional collateral or early repayment if its valuation falls sharply. SoftBank's total investment in OpenAI is projected to reach $65 billion by October, indicating significant financial commitment amidst market volatility.

The requirement for additional collateral highlights the increasing caution among investors regarding tech valuations, particularly in AI. Smart money should note that this could signal a broader trend of tightening liquidity and increased scrutiny on tech investments, especially as earnings season unfolds in Japan.

16:14
PDT
Japan's BOJ is expected to normalize rates, impacting liquidity in Asian markets.
JapanBOJShinza AbeU.S.FedU.S. TreasuryEMFEDFUNDS
– Increased yen selling could lead to higher yields in Japan.
– Potential for U.S. Fed to hike rates sooner due to Japanese yield pressures.
– Japanese pension funds may unwind Treasury positions, affecting U.S. bonds.
– Market volatility may increase as capital flows shift.
monetary policycapital flowsinterest rates
▸ Full transcript
It is something that's now a more, you know, for decades, markets got accustomed to low Japanese yields, and Japan had been a fund currency to global markets, particularly EM and EM bond markets. EM equities obviously benefited from that flow in of capital. And that's now at question here with now Japan having to normalize rates. So, in a way, you know, the reforms that Shinza Abe pushed forward over a decade ago to lift inflation in Japan, you know, have worked. Now it's the BOJ's turn to normalize policy. And that, in a way, will obviously put a bit of pressure on liquidity in Asian markets, drawing back liquidity back into the Japanese bond market. But I think ultimately that's a healthier development for markets to see through this. And the bigger risk, of course, is going to be that this spurs more yen selling, higher and higher yields in Japan, which then translates into the U.S. and then it forces essentially the Fed to hike, which is something I feel they probably want to have more evidence on the data before they really come to a strong concrete conclusion that a hike is definitely where they want to head.
Analysis

Japan's normalization of interest rates is putting pressure on liquidity in Asian markets, potentially leading to increased yen selling and higher yields. This could force the Fed to consider rate hikes sooner than anticipated, impacting global markets.

Smart money should note that the BOJ's actions may lead to a significant shift in capital flows, as Japanese pension funds may unwind Treasury positions, affecting U.S. bond markets. The interplay between Japanese yields and U.S. monetary policy could create volatility in both equity and bond markets.

16:12
PDT
Yen weakness could lead to Japanese pension funds repatriating investments.
JapanU.S.Bank of JapanJapanese pension fundsThe Bank
– Prolonged yen weakness may dampen market sentiment and equities.
– BOJ's narrative control is vital for stabilizing the yen.
– U.S.-Japan cooperation aims to prevent Treasury sell-offs.
– Rising long-term yields could impact overall market dynamics.
currency volatilitycentral bank policy
▸ Full transcript
The yen is currently trading around 158. This raises concerns about its prolonged weakness and potential impacts on market sentiment. If this trend continues, Japanese pension funds may unwind Treasury positions, leading to upward pressure on long-term yields and dampening overall market sentiment. The Bank of Japan's ability to stabilize the yen is crucial, as a failure to do so could negatively affect Japanese equities. The recent cooperation between the U.S. and Japan to prevent Treasury sales indicates a strategic move to maintain market stability amid these currency fluctuations.
Analysis

The Japanese yen is currently trading around 158, raising concerns about its prolonged weakness and potential impacts on market sentiment. If this trend continues, Japanese pension funds may unwind Treasury positions, leading to upward pressure on long-term yields and dampening overall market sentiment.

The Bank of Japan's ability to stabilize the yen is crucial, as a failure to do so could negatively affect Japanese equities. The recent cooperation between the U.S. and Japan to prevent Treasury sales indicates a strategic move to maintain market stability amid these currency fluctuations.

16:09
PDT
Investor caution due to AI spending concerns and yen volatility.
ChinaUShyperscalersAItech stocksARUSDCNH
– Strong earnings reported by US tech stocks.
– China's progress in open-source AI models may impact frontier labs.
– Hyperscalers are seeing a return on AI investments.
– Operating cash flows of large tech firms are re-accelerating.
AI investment trendsJapanese yen volatilityTech sector competition
▸ Full transcript
And against that, you've had a situation where situational awareness had a big blow-up in the markets last month, but obviously that took a lot of the brought forward a lot of concerns about the AI spend, whether there's a bubble there, whether debt is now being fueled by debt. And on the backdrop of all that, you've got the Japanese yen also causing nervousness in markets. So I think there's a few of these elements that are coming together that are keeping investors a little bit cautious, but at the same time you are seeing very strong earnings out of many of the US tech stocks and generally out of the market. Yeah, I guess the question is once you have the washout that we've seen maybe in this part of the cycle, who emerges as the winners, right? Are you convinced by the closing of the gap story and the efficiency story for China, for example? Yeah, so it's very clear that China has made great progress in terms of open source AI models, cost effective and capable models. And there's obviously a debate whether this takes now margin away from the frontier labs. And probably does, but it's also a good thing that the spenders of AI being the cloud and hyperscalers see a return on that investment in the last week or so. You've seen operating cash flows of the large hyperscalers starting to re-accelerate. And that's very positive. You're seeing evidence of some software company seeing AR usage go on.
Analysis

Market caution persists as concerns about AI spending and the Japanese yen weigh on investor sentiment, despite strong earnings from US tech stocks. The emergence of China's open-source AI models could disrupt margins for frontier labs, but hyperscalers are beginning to see a return on their investments, indicating a potential shift in the market landscape.

Smart money should note the re-acceleration of operating cash flows among large hyperscalers, suggesting a recovery in AI-related investments. Additionally, the competitive advancements in China's AI capabilities may reshape the dynamics of the tech sector, warranting close attention to the evolving landscape.

16:05
PDT
Iran nuclear deal negotiations are stalling.
IranSaudi ArabiaHouthiU.S.President TrumpPete HegsethWashington PostRed SeaDefense Secretary Pete Hegseth
– Houthi attacks increase regional instability.
– U.S. missile defense shortages reported.
– Potential for wider conflict raises geopolitical risks.
– Oil prices may be affected by escalating tensions.
geopolitical riskdefense readinessIran nuclear deal
▸ Full transcript
What you hear publicly and in the local media and what's actually going on in the negotiations may well differ, but it certainly doesn't end the week on a particularly happy note. I guess the point is also that this was supposed to be the easiest part, the commercial part of a deal before you even get to issues like proxy fronts that have been opened up, and obviously the nuclear disagreements as well. And look, we saw this widening that's becoming really worrying with the Houthis attacking the Saudi-backed government. There's quite a lot of bloodshed and fighting that's been going on there. And again, that raises the question of threats to the Red Sea and that sort of thing on the Saudi side. And as you mentioned, the nuclear agreement, we are so far from even getting to that point, which was supposed to be central to the initial attack. So yeah, look, the whole thing seems to have blown off course, but even these sort of greatest fears about a widening conflict seem to be a possibility at the moment as well. So, yeah, really a bit disheartening at the moment. We keep continuously receiving reports of U.S. missile air defense shortages as well. How does that really up the risk of that threat to U.S. deterrence at this point? Yes, Sherry. I mean, there have been a few reports. There was one in the Washington Post saying that President Trump, on the sidelines of a cabinet meeting, had let fly at Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth about that. The administration has sort of been...
Analysis

Negotiations regarding the Iran nuclear deal appear to be faltering, with rising tensions highlighted by Houthi attacks on the Saudi-backed government, raising concerns about regional stability. The U.S. faces challenges with missile air defense shortages, which could undermine its deterrence capabilities in the region.

The ongoing conflict and the potential for a wider war could impact oil prices and geopolitical risk premiums. Investors should be cautious as the situation evolves, particularly with the U.S. administration's internal challenges regarding defense readiness.

16:02
PDT
Oil prices are rising due to Iranian military actions.
IranOmanU.S.IsraelTehranStrait of HormuzPresident TrumpU.S. NavyCL=F
– Tehran plans to restrict U.S. and Israeli vessels in the Strait of Hormuz.
– The yen is weakening, failing to break the 155 level against the dollar.
– Geopolitical tensions are impacting oil trade significantly.
– Japan's currency intervention may lack long-term effectiveness.
geopolitical riskcurrency interventionoil market dynamics
▸ Full transcript
Reports that we saw a sort of resilient demand for memory still, that pricing aspect will continue to weigh. But looking like we'll see an interesting session from Japan, given that from the start of the U.S. equity session, there was that renewed weakness in the yen. It's just been a week since we had that bout of yen intervention, but that sort of renewed failure to drive the yen beyond that 155 level is really weighing when it comes to how credible and how long-lasting these intervention impacts will be. So, Dolly, at the moment, sitting at that 158 level. Switch out the boards to take a look at really the geopolitics play, of course, oil continuing to extend these gains now on these reports that are around attacked hostile targets in the Strait of Hormuz. This sort of sidestep when it comes to the deal with Oman is also weighing quite heavily on the oil trade there with Tehran seeking to bar U.S. ships from Hormuz in that deal with Oman, also banning Israeli ships from passage there as well. Australia looking a little bit softer as we head into Friday morning trade. Iranian media says that Tehran has struck the so-called hostile targets in the Strait of Hormuz. It comes amid these reports that there will also be the barring of U.S. and Israeli vessels from the waterway under this proposed agreement that we've been talking about between Tehran and Oman. President Trump had insisted that the U.S. is in control of the straits. I don't want to say it has been, it's sort of open right now. We have a thing called the blockade headed up by the U.S. Navy, and we control it.
Analysis

Oil prices are climbing following reports of Iranian attacks on hostile targets in the Strait of Hormuz, with Tehran proposing to bar U.S. and Israeli ships from the waterway. The renewed weakness in the yen and its failure to surpass the 155 level raises questions about the sustainability of intervention impacts on currency markets.

Smart money should note the geopolitical tensions affecting oil trade dynamics, particularly with Iran's aggressive stance in the Strait of Hormuz. Additionally, the yen's struggle against the dollar could signal broader implications for Japanese exports and monetary policy as intervention efforts may not hold long-term credibility.

16:00
PDT
Oil prices are climbing due to Iranian geopolitical actions.
IranU.S.IsraelOmanAsian stocksU.S. equitiesmemory firmsSouth BankBloombergETFIQScarlett FooPRIVATECL=F
– Asian stocks are expected to open mixed following U.S. equity declines.
– Memory firms are under focus after weak forecasts from U.S. counterparts.
– The upcoming jobs report is creating cautious sentiment in the markets.
– Geopolitical tensions may lead to increased volatility in oil markets.
geopolitical riskoil market volatilityAsian market sentiment
▸ Full transcript
The latest business news wherever and whenever it happens. I'm Scarlett Foo reporting from America's biggest military shipyard. This is Bloomberg. Every weekday, Bloomberg puts a spotlight on a different aspect of global finance: flows, funds, and the forces shaping markets on ETF IQ; the future of money with Bloomberg Crypto; the players behind major transactions on Bloomberg Deals; rates, risk, and the cost of capital on Bloomberg Real Yield; and personal finance, retirement, and wealth management on Bloomberg Money. A different topic every weekday, only on Bloomberg television. This is Asia Trade. I'm Sherry Yen in Tokyo. The top story this hour: oil climbs on reports of an Iranian attack in the Strait of Hormuz. Local media say Tehran will bar U.S. and Israeli ships from the waterway under a proposed deal with Oman. Asian stocks are set for a mixed open after U.S. equities fell ahead of Friday's jobs report, with memory firms in focus after forecasts from U.S. peers underwhelmed. And we'll be watching South Bank after it reported a smaller than $1 million.
Analysis

Oil prices are rising following reports of an Iranian attack in the Strait of Hormuz, with local media indicating Tehran's intention to bar U.S. and Israeli ships from the waterway. Asian stocks are set for a mixed open as U.S. equities fell ahead of the upcoming jobs report, with memory firms under scrutiny after disappointing forecasts from U.S. peers.

The geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz could lead to increased volatility in oil prices, impacting global supply chains. Additionally, the mixed outlook for Asian stocks suggests cautious sentiment among investors, particularly in the tech sector, which may be influenced by the performance of memory firms.

15:58
PDT
Solar energy is now the cheapest electricity source globally.
TrumpRoger StabakUnited States
– Wind energy follows closely in cost efficiency.
– Utility-scale battery prices are decreasing rapidly.
– 93% of new electricity generation was renewable last year.
– Political decisions are impacting renewable energy projects.
renewable energysolar powerwind energypolitical impact
▸ Full transcript
The cheapest electricity in the history of the world is solar energy. The second cheapest is wind energy. And now batteries, the only thing that's come down in price faster than solar, are utility-scale batteries, doubling every single year. Why are we ending the wind farms that are now being built off the coast of the United States? We're ending them because Trump is insane. On another subject, you don't want to explore that. But let me add one point on the solar. If you look at all of the new electricity generation installed worldwide last year, I often ask people what percentage of it was renewable. And people say, you know, they're looking for a high number, say maybe 30%, 35%. The correct answer is 93% because it is taking over the electricity generation industry. My old mentor, Roger Stabak, told me when I transitioned, football will never leave you, but you need to leave it. Wow. Everyone has a dream, and a lot of dreams are, you know, my dream is to play football and play professional football, and you get the dream comes true, but it isn't going to end. And the day it ends, the day before it ends, you're one of the best in the world. Great. The next day you wake up, that's gone. What are you great at? And the truth is nothing, right? I'm not great at anything else. I talk about it all the time, Steve, Steve is this whole idea of, it's not from Penthouse.
Analysis

The transition to renewable energy is accelerating, with 93% of new electricity generation worldwide last year coming from renewable sources, primarily solar and wind. This shift is significant as it highlights the growing dominance of renewables in the energy sector, despite political challenges that may hinder progress, such as the cessation of offshore wind farm projects in the U.S.

15:54
PDT
Anthropic emphasizes the importance of safety in AI development.
AnthropicDarioGoogleAISilicon ValleyGOOGL
– Proposes universal basic income as a solution to job loss from AI.
– Silicon Valley's trust deficit requires companies to re-earn credibility.
– The balance between innovation and regulation is critical for future growth.
– Dario's vision includes a utopian future with AI and humans collaborating.
AI governancetrust in technologyeconomic impact of AI
▸ Full transcript
That's not the stance that I think any technology company should take. I don't think that's the stance that we're trying to take. For a company whose identity is so wrapped up in wanting to do this right, we exist as a safety company. How can we just help all of this go well? It can be hard to understand why Anthropic is pushing so hard to advance AI while being so upfront about the dangers. In his essays, Dario lays out what the end game looks like if everything goes right with AI: a utopian future where machines and humans work side by side. AI, an inevitable force, steered toward prosperity rather than catastrophe. To mitigate the devastation of job loss, he proposes solutions like universal basic income and progressive taxation of AI companies. But as the Omides confront the messy realities of power, politics, and profit, the real test is whether that founding mission can survive the scale of what they're building. Google started with the motto, 'don't be evil,' a founding promise the company quietly retired as it grew. You are building something incredibly powerful and stand to gain enormously from it. Why should we trust you? I think starting from a position of distrust, you know, if you don't know anything about me, if you know anything about it, anthropic, it's pretty rational. I think Silicon Valley has lost a lot of the world's trust and kind of has to re-earn it. And the message, you know, we're trying to send is we're actually different.
Analysis

Anthropic is navigating the complex landscape of AI development while acknowledging its potential dangers, advocating for proactive measures like universal basic income to address job displacement. The company's commitment to safety and ethical considerations contrasts with the broader skepticism towards Silicon Valley, highlighting the need for trust in powerful technologies.

Smart money should note that as AI continues to evolve, the balance between innovation and regulation will be crucial. The call for a more moderate approach to AI governance suggests that companies like Anthropic may face increasing scrutiny, impacting their operational strategies and market positioning.

15:51
PDT
Proactive measures in AI development are crucial to avoid past mistakes of social media companies.
AnthropicSam Altmansocial media companiesNational Security AdministrationPentagonEU regulatorsAI
– The speaker emphasizes the importance of addressing potential issues before they escalate.
– There is a significant divide between optimism and caution regarding AI's future impact.
– Regulatory scrutiny on AI technologies may intensify as societal concerns grow.
– The existential nature of AI development creates a burden on those involved.
AI regulationethical technologyinvestment risk
▸ Full transcript
It's absolutely possible if the social media companies could go back in time and see the world that they see today, would they do anything differently? I like to think the answer to that is yes, I don't know. If we sort of project some of the challenges that the social media companies have faced around child welfare, mental health, election integrity, all of these topics, we're really lucky that we're second. We view it as our job to try and proactively think about all of the things that could go wrong because if we don't, who's going to? You know, I don't know if they actually set out to do the right thing or make the world a better place. And so I don't think if they were going back, they would even knowing what they do, and they certainly should do things differently. I don't know if they actually will. But we can't. This is why we're trying to get this right the first time. Instead of waiting for things to go wrong, then scrambling to justify why it's all okay. The main way I could see AI being, you know, banned or blocked is if something really went wrong. And if something really went wrong, then maybe it deserves to be. You have technologists saying, it's going to be amazing, and others saying, it could be awful. Where are you on that spectrum? I hope for the best, but plan for the worst. For me, this is the most important work I've ever done. For some people, it feels like this is the last job, because this is sort of the... it could mean the end of work. And I think for other people, it's, you know, like, maybe it's not the last job, but it's existential to get this right. And so there's just this kind of burden. If the impacts...
Analysis

The discussion highlights the proactive approach needed in AI development to avoid the pitfalls faced by social media companies, emphasizing the importance of addressing potential issues before they arise. The speaker expresses a commitment to getting AI right the first time, acknowledging the existential stakes involved in its deployment.

Smart money should note the growing tension between optimism and caution in the AI sector, as the potential for significant societal impact raises both excitement and fear. This duality suggests that regulatory scrutiny may increase, potentially affecting investment strategies in tech and AI-related companies.

15:49
PDT
Public sentiment towards AI is increasingly negative, with protests against companies like Anthropic.
AnthropicSam AltmanAI
– Concerns about AI risks are overshadowing excitement about its potential benefits.
– Developers of AI technologies are uncertain about the future implications of their work.
– Regulatory scrutiny may increase as public anxiety grows, affecting AI investments.
– The situation could lead to a more cautious approach to AI deployment and innovation.
AI regulationpublic sentimentinvestment risk
▸ Full transcript
The reaction to AI right now, it's intense. Anthropic has built this really loyal following. There are some people who just love what they stand for, but there have also been protests right outside their office. There's a lot of anxiety, a lot of confusion. There's some real anger right now about what's happening, and it actually feels like it's escalating. Artificial intelligence is the next industrial revolution. If you look at the data, people are more concerned than excited about what's going on. They think the risks outweigh the benefits. And the truth is, if you talk to the people who are building this, even they will tell you, they don't fully know how it's all going to play out. How do you think about the weight of this moment? I worry that something will go wrong. You know, are we doing literally everything we can? We're certainly trying our best. What I want is to create a situation where if this set of people can't do it, it couldn't be done. You can't guarantee success, but maybe you can guarantee that. It's getting personal. Sam Altman's home down the street has been attacked. How is that affecting you? It was really scary to read that. I mean, it was, we were obviously extremely relieved that he and his family were okay. In general, I think this is a time, you know, technologically, politically, where unfortunately.
Analysis

The reaction to AI is intensifying, with protests outside Anthropic's office reflecting growing public anxiety and anger about the technology's implications. Despite the enthusiasm from some supporters, data shows that many people believe the risks of AI outweigh its benefits, highlighting a significant divide in perception.

Smart money should note that even those developing AI technologies express uncertainty about the future, indicating potential volatility in the sector. The escalating public sentiment and protests could lead to increased regulatory scrutiny, impacting investment strategies in AI-related companies.

15:47
PDT
Calls for a balanced regulatory approach to AI technology.
EUTrumpChinaMiddle EastBloombergDave RakeAIPRIVATE
– Reliable power is essential for the AI economy and advanced manufacturing.
– Middle East energy resources are pivotal for future growth.
– Tensions between European regulators and tech firms may create market opportunities.
– The debate on nationalization versus deregulation reflects broader economic concerns.
AI regulationenergy infrastructuregeopolitical tensions
▸ Full transcript
It'll kill innovation. And then as soon as they see the first real danger, which I've been expecting all along, there's all this talk of nationalization and the government should just seize it. Come on folks here, you're yo-yoing from like the most extreme anti-regulatory. If you look at us the wrong way, you're destroying the industry to, you know, this completely communist, the government should grab it all. We need a more sensible, moderate approach. That's the one we've been favoring all along because we've understood the power of this technology. We're not panicking. We're not denying it. We see the smooth exponential and we're responding to it appropriately. Every modern economy depends on one invisible advantage, reliable power. Without it, there is no AI economy, no advanced manufacturing, no modern healthcare, no water security. Power isn't just another industry. It's the infrastructure behind it. Every major growth story should begin with one question. Where will the power come from? That's the business of power, knowing how governments should plan and which economies have the infrastructure to scale. Middle East energy, where possibility becomes power. First on Bloomberg. In case you missed it, I'm Dave Rake, Europe. We're talking with the EU regulator on this, though. Look, as I told you, I interact a lot with Americans and Chinese players and we see Trump fighting for their companies all the time. We see the Chinese fighting for their companies all the time. Here in Europe, I feel I'm fighting against the European regulators, not that they are fighting...
Analysis

The ongoing debate around AI regulation highlights a stark divide between extreme anti-regulatory stances and calls for nationalization, suggesting a need for a balanced approach to harness the technology's potential. The emphasis on reliable power as the backbone of modern economies underscores the critical infrastructure required for AI and advanced manufacturing to thrive.

Smart money should note the implications of energy infrastructure on economic growth, particularly in regions like the Middle East where energy resources are abundant. The tension between regulatory bodies and tech companies in Europe may create opportunities for firms that can navigate these challenges effectively.

15:42
PDT
Anthropic's AI model, mythos, is in high demand despite Pentagon restrictions.
AnthropicNational Security AdministrationPentagonProject GlasswingFEDFUNDS
– Concerns about cybersecurity are driving selective access to powerful AI tools.
– The competition for AI capabilities may escalate between nations and organizations.
– Ethical dilemmas surrounding AI access and usage are becoming more pronounced.
– The narrative of 'good guys' versus 'bad guys' in AI technology is evolving.
cybersecurityAI technology accessdefense sector competition
▸ Full transcript
Vulnerabilities. It was a particularly large jump. Some of the early companies that we gave this to said things like, "This is a super weapon, you should have to own a gun license to use it. Please don't release this." In an initiative called Project Glasswing, Anthropic gave select organizations access to mythos. Even federal agencies like the National Security Administration clamored to use it, despite Anthropic's blacklisting by the Pentagon. I think the future is this kind of cat-and-mouse game where we need to make sure that the good guys have the tools that they need to defend. And then at some point, the bad guys will have a tool, and at that point, we have to make sure the good guys have an even better model so they can be ready for this. Is it possible to stay ahead of the bad guys? Really, though? That's what we hope. The criticism is you're effectively deciding who gets access and who doesn't. Why should anyone be comfortable with that kind of concentration of power? It wasn't like, "Oh, it's so powerful and let's decide who gets the power." It was a very specific concern around cybersecurity. And so the way that we decided who to give the model to was grounded in that specific fear. There's obviously nuance to decide like where do you draw that circle? I think that's really complicated. I think we've tried to be as publicly open as possible to say, "We're trying our best to make this decision well, but we might not do it perfectly." What about the folks who say this was just good marketing? You know, we have suffered a...
Analysis

Anthropic's Project Glasswing has sparked significant interest from federal agencies, including the NSA, despite the company's blacklisting by the Pentagon. This highlights a growing tension between cybersecurity concerns and the concentration of power in AI technology access, raising ethical questions about who gets to wield such capabilities.

Smart money should note that the ongoing cat-and-mouse dynamic in AI development may lead to increased competition among nations and organizations, as they race to secure advanced models for defense. The implications of this power concentration could reshape market dynamics, particularly in defense and cybersecurity sectors, as entities vie for technological superiority.

15:38
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AI's role in warfare is increasingly significant, with potential to influence global conflicts.
ClaudeAnthropicPalantirUSChinaTaiwanUkraineNicolas MaduroDepartment of DefenseICECBPAIUSDCNHGOOGL
– Human oversight is deemed essential to prevent misunderstandings and accidents in military operations.
– The balance of AI use could either deter or provoke military actions.
– Properly managed AI could enhance intelligence collection and strategic decision-making.
– Concerns about the misuse of AI in warfare could lead to calls for regulatory frameworks.
AI in warfaregeopolitical tensionsmilitary oversight
▸ Full transcript
A Google search, like shouldn't Claude have spotted that? And it doesn't speak to a scarier issue about using technology as a shortcut in war. The principle that was obeyed here is that a human makes the final decision. I don't know what role Claude or any other AI had, but if this isn't an illustration of why that principle is so important, I don't know what is. Is AI warfare more likely to stop World War III, a war between the US and China, or is it more likely to make it happen? I would say on balance it is more likely to stop it. But if we have no limits on how it's used, then I think it could be more likely to cause it. You've seen Dr. Strangelove, right? The premise of it was like you have a doomsday device that automatically fires nuclear weapons when it thinks nuclear weapons are being fired at it. What could go wrong? I think the way conflicts happen is that the two sides jump at each other. They misunderstand each other. And when we don't have proper oversight of this technology, I think those kinds of accidents are more likely to happen. Now I think if AI is used in an appropriate way, in not even warfare, but think of just intelligence collection, let's say we're able to predict an invasion of Taiwan or a new movement in Ukraine. Our adversaries will think twice about conducting some kind of invasion or military operation if we know everything that they're doing.
Analysis

The discussion highlights the critical role of AI in warfare, emphasizing the importance of human oversight in decision-making processes. The potential for AI to either prevent or escalate conflicts, particularly between the US and China, is underscored, with concerns about the lack of limits on its use.

15:36
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Claude AI is being used by the U.S. military in Iran for targeting.
AnthropicClaudeU.S. militaryPalantirMavenSmartIranIn FebruaryDid ClaudePRIVATE
– Anthropic is committed to limiting the use of its technology in military operations.
– Recent civilian casualties raise ethical concerns about AI in warfare.
– The company faces a potential conflict between ethical standards and military contracts.
– Regulatory scrutiny on AI technologies in military applications is likely to increase.
military AI ethicsregulatory scrutinyAI technology in warfare
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Are you comfortable with that? Basically, you're asking like, you know, do you believe in this country, right? Do you want this country to be a more powerful actor rather than a less powerful actor on the world stage? I do. I'm a patriot. It's not up to me. If we provide a technology, it's not up to us to say you can do this military operation and you can't do that military operation. Now, I might privately believe that this military operation makes sense and that military operation is a bad idea, but we're not going to deny the technology. You basically have to, you know, you have to leave policy in the hands of the military decision makers. Bloomberg has reported that Claude is being used by the U.S. military in the war in Iran to do A.I. assisted targeting via a platform made by Palantir, MavenSmart system. In February, a U.S. missile reportedly hit a girl school in Iran, killing more than 150 people, most of them children. Did Claude play a role in that strike? We don't know exactly how these models were used. You know, obviously, like these things that mistakes that happen in warfare are really, really terrible. Like, this is a really terrible thing to happen. We were willing to risk the future of our company to limit how these models are used. And what you're talking about is a use case that doesn't even violate our red lines. We're worried that there will be 100 times as much with use cases that...
Analysis

Anthropic's Claude AI is reportedly being utilized by the U.S. military for AI-assisted targeting in the ongoing conflict in Iran, raising ethical concerns following a tragic incident involving civilian casualties. The company is committed to limiting the use of its technology, emphasizing a separation between military policy and technology provision, despite the potential implications for its business model.

Smart money should note the increasing scrutiny on AI technologies in military applications, particularly as incidents of civilian harm could lead to regulatory backlash. Anthropic's stance on limiting its technology's use may position it favorably among investors concerned about ethical implications, but it also risks alienating military contracts that could be lucrative.

15:33
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Anthropic refuses Pentagon's demand for unrestricted AI use.
AnthropicOpenAIXAIGooglePentagonClaudeICECBPVenezuelan President Nicolas MaduroAIIs ClaudeGOOGLUSDCNH
– Conflict may affect future government contracts.
– Ethical AI stance could attract responsible investors.
– Potential implications for military AI applications.
– Tensions between technology advancement and ethical considerations.
military AI applicationsethical technologygovernment contracts
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The world changes. You know, my view of this technology, when I see Russia invading Ukraine, when I see the risk of China invading Taiwan, it worries me that we have a kind of resurgent authoritarian bloc that is very aggressive and that we need to defend ourselves. I may not agree with every policy of either administration, but that's why we've generally been supportive of this. You've been working with Palantir since 2024. That's right. Their technology is used by ICE and police departments in Gaza. Is Claude being used for surveillance in other ways? We don't work with ICE either through Palantir or anyone else. We don't work with CBP. I don't believe we work in Gaza. We're very careful about scoping our engagements to things that we believe in. In 2025, Anthropic, along with OpenAI, XAI, and Google, won a $200 million contract with the Pentagon. Anthropic framed it as an opportunity to become the leading AI vendor for the government. Claude was reportedly used by the U.S. military in the operation to seize Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. Weeks later, everything started to unravel. We bring you breaking news from Anthropic, the Department of Defense demanded that Anthropic allow full use of its AI technology without guardrails. Anthropic drew red lines, refusing to let Claude be used for mass surveillance and autonomous weapons, putting the company on a collision course with the Pentagon.
Analysis

Anthropic is facing a significant challenge with the Pentagon after refusing to allow full use of its AI technology without guardrails, particularly concerning mass surveillance and autonomous weapons. This conflict highlights the tension between advancing AI capabilities and ethical considerations in military applications.

Smart money should note that Anthropic's stance could impact its future contracts and partnerships, especially with government entities. The company's commitment to ethical AI use may attract scrutiny but could also position it favorably among investors prioritizing responsible technology development.

15:31
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70% of Americans fear AI will eliminate jobs.
Dario AmadeAnthropicChinaU.S. governmentNorth KoreaDOWAIDOWUSDCNH
– Amade predicts AI could eliminate half of entry-level white-collar jobs.
– Concerns about U.S. companies selling AI chips to China.
– Amade advocates for export controls on AI technology.
– The tech industry faces scrutiny over responsible AI deployment.
AI job market impactExport controlsTech industry regulation
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Explain this to me, Daniela runs day-to-day operations. All the leadership team reports to you. Yes. No one reports to you. That sounds like a pretty sweet job. It's incredibly freeing. It lets me do all the things that I do much more easily than I would otherwise. Because she does all the work? Is that what you're saying? I'm just. If you had to go through the things I had to go through during DOW or client. No. Out on the world stage, Dario Amade has adopted a dual role, moving between newbie captain of industry and steward of this consequential technology. He's not afraid to blast his competitors. There are some players who are yoloing, who pull the risk dial too far, and I'm very concerned. Who is yoloing? So that's a question I'm not going to answer. Or critique the U.S. government and Anthropics' own partners for selling AI chips to China. It's a bit like, you know, like selling, selling, you know, nuclear weapons to North Korea. I've been very outspoken about the need for export controls on chips to China. I say this because I think it would be really bad for America, for, you know, the state of democracy in the world, for, you know, China to be ahead in AI capabilities. And, you know, it's like some of the chip makers obviously don't agree with that view, but it hasn't stopped me from saying it. even after we've...
Analysis

Dario Amade has expressed concerns about the potential risks of AI, particularly regarding job losses and the implications of selling AI technology to China. He advocates for export controls on AI chips to protect U.S. interests and democracy, highlighting a growing tension in the tech industry regarding responsible AI deployment.

The dual role of Amade as both a leader in AI and a critic of competitors and government policies suggests a strategic positioning that could influence market dynamics. His warnings about competitors 'yoloing' and the need for regulatory measures indicate a potential shift in how AI companies operate and interact with global markets, which could affect investment strategies in the tech sector.

15:29
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Western funding cuts to Africa are impacting public health programs.
Africa CDCUSCDCBloomberg MoneyWall Street WeekBloomberg This WeekendBloomberg TelevisionPRIVATE
– African countries are seeking alternative funding sources.
– The Africa CDC is crucial for public health leadership in Africa.
– Continued US support is vital for addressing health challenges.
– Community-level instability may rise due to funding gaps.
public health fundingUS-Africa relations
▸ Full transcript
Why the company exists. Western countries, all of them are cutting funding to Africa. Some of these programs were supported by funding coming from Western countries, like for human resources, for testing, for transportation samples. Suddenly, African countries have to think about how to fund money and cover this gap. But it takes some time. I think the combination of all of these factors is fueling these mistrusts that we see at the community level. We value the support we got and we are still getting from the US. We think that if we continue to work together, there is no reason for the US not to work for Africa CDC, which is the leader in terms of public health in Africa. Thank you. Good morning. This is Bloomberg surveillance. Welcome back to the opening trade. It's Bloomberg Money. This is the Asia trade. This is Wall Street Week. Welcome to Balance of Power. You're watching Bloomberg deals. Welcome to Bloomberg This Weekend. This is Bloomberg Television.
Analysis

Funding cuts from Western countries to Africa are creating significant challenges for public health initiatives, forcing African nations to seek alternative funding solutions. The Africa CDC remains a pivotal organization in addressing these issues, emphasizing the importance of continued collaboration with the US.

Smart money should note that the funding gap could lead to increased instability at the community level, potentially impacting sectors reliant on public health stability. The Africa CDC's leadership role suggests that any shifts in US policy could have broader implications for health-related investments in the region.

15:27
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The need for checks and balances in AI development is emphasized.
OppenheimerGoogleDeepMindGOOGL
– Concerns about the implications of AI on job markets are growing.
– Bridging the gap between digital intelligence and automation is critical.
– Powerful actors in the AI space may influence outcomes significantly.
– Proactive measures are necessary to address potential risks associated with AI.
AI regulationJob market impactTechnological advancement
▸ Full transcript
Or like figures who try and be at the center of everything. In some ways, I actually see Oppenheimer as a failure case, as what should not happen. There's a lot of powerful actors who have interests here, and the only way it's gonna end well for everyone is if there's some... There's basically checks and balances everywhere. As shifted from science fiction to reshaping human capability, we need someone who left Google's DeepMind to bridge that gap between digital brains and automation. A lot of people sit in the office with their own computers. Is that really the natural form for humans to work? Some see heroes. Others only egos. We see the era of billionaire athletes. While others follow the noise, we follow the money. And I agree with a lot of these risks. And perhaps where I might disagree or take a different path is that I think that I'm going to be going to a different path.
Analysis

The discussion highlights the need for checks and balances in the rapidly evolving AI landscape, emphasizing the risks associated with powerful actors and the potential for failure. As AI transitions from science fiction to a transformative force in human capability, the importance of bridging the gap between digital intelligence and automation becomes increasingly critical.

Smart money should note that the conversation reflects a growing concern about the implications of AI on job markets and the necessity for proactive measures to address these risks. The mention of powerful interests suggests that navigating this landscape will require careful consideration of both technological advancements and their societal impacts.

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